TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143759
Played Sep 17Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.68
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811113911611
Witold Buczynski
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:43 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
115811113911611
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 26–22 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 22 of their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-22 in 48
Schaniel
Wrong
gap of 4 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1357 vs Buczynski 1335
Schaniel
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Buczynski 60%
Buczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 50% vs Buczynski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -2 · Buczynski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.68 / Buczynski 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Schaniel)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13143759
Schaniel1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 202 of 343
Up 2–0, closes it89% 98 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 153 of 199
Buczynski2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 188 of 505
Down 0–1, comes back22% 67 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel75%3 of 4
AwayBuczynski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S2Schaniel5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Schaniel3Buczynski7n = 10Buczynski took 7 of 10
S4Schaniel5Buczynski2n = 7Schaniel took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielBuczynskiS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.235.20.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime873 / 1748 vs 435 / 110949.9%39.2%873 / 1748 vs 435 / 1109Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.68/Buczynski 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 16:40K. Schaniel1835100W. Buczynski341111123
WAug 7 · 10:40K. Schaniel4281112113W. Buczynski281151021
WAug 3 · 09:50K. Schaniel4111118113W. Buczynski31471191
LAug 3 · 05:40K. Schaniel36811981W. Buczynski4011711113
WJul 23 · 14:40K. Schaniel3811313113W. Buczynski355111181
WJul 23 · 06:05K. Schaniel4491311113W. Buczynski301111441
LJul 19 · 14:40K. Schaniel2879120W. Buczynski361111143
WJul 19 · 06:05K. Schaniel44111147113W. Buczynski4156111182
LJul 12 · 14:20K. Schaniel4211481182W. Buczynski44611115113
LJul 12 · 08:10K. Schaniel198650W. Buczynski331111113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 17 · 08:20K. Schaniel2.25911481K. Slawinski1.5511711113LSep 17 · 06:45K. Schaniel1.57119891W. Glanowski2.1581111113WSep 17 · 05:30K. Schaniel1.801011124113M. Baron1.83126101152WSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690LSep 16 · 24:35M. Koczyba1.73511119113K. Schaniel2.0011781152WSep 15 · 23:45P. Adamus1.6111121110102K. Schaniel2.20414912123WSep 15 · 22:55K. Schaniel2.7571112113J. Pruszkowski1.401151071WSep 15 · 21:45K. Schaniel1.8011811113G. Marud1.91311561LSep 15 · 20:05K. Schaniel1.6111116672G. Jurowicz2.20751111113LSep 15 · 18:30M. Koczyba1.6111611113K. Schaniel2.20211961
W. Buczynski10
LSep 17 · 10:20W. Glanowski1.8571111113W. Buczynski1.78115651LSep 17 · 08:45W. Buczynski1.86811671O. Sokolowski1.8511611113WSep 17 · 07:10W. Buczynski2.16713615113M. Baron1.571111111392WSep 17 · 06:20K. Slawinski1.289890W. Buczynski3.151111113LSep 9 · 16:20S. Juzek1.881111113W. Buczynski1.822560WSep 9 · 15:30M. Rus2.557950W. Buczynski1.411111113LSep 9 · 14:45W. Buczynski2.601031181K. Adamus1.4112115113WSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491WSep 9 · 12:20B. Madej2.4461171192W. Buczynski1.45114115113WSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113
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