TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102557
Played Sep 9Finished
Sebastian Juzek
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112115116––––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.82
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:20 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeSebastian Juzek to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
46 points played in total.
Set by set
112115116––––
H2H Sebastian Juzek 17–14 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:20What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Buczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-14 in 31
Juzek
Correct
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Juzek 1312 vs Buczynski 1343
Buczynski
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Juzek 40% vs Buczynski 80%
Buczynski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Juzek 50% vs Buczynski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Juzek +1 · Buczynski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuzek 1.88 / Buczynski 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Buczynski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13102557
Juzek1.88
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 104 of 295
Down 0–1, comes back20% 35 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 102
Buczynski1.82
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 41 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuzek5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuzek100%4 of 4
AwayBuczynski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juzek4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S2Juzek4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S3Juzek4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S4Juzek4Buczynski4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuzekBuczynskiJ − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.8−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuzekBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 755 vs 438 / 113241.1%38.7%310 / 755 vs 438 / 1132Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiJuzek 1.88/Buczynski 1.82
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Juzek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek—141112113W. Buczynski—1241491
LSep 2 · 11:55S. Juzek—591171W. Buczynski—11119113
LSep 2 · 05:55S. Juzek—281381W. Buczynski—111111113
LAug 9 · 14:40S. Juzek—561131W. Buczynski—11118113
WAug 9 · 06:05S. Juzek—1111210113W. Buczynski—75111282
LJun 11 · 16:40S. Juzek—3890W. Buczynski—1111113
WJun 11 · 10:40S. Juzek—111110113W. Buczynski—461281
LJun 4 · 13:55S. Juzek—5790W. Buczynski—1111113
WJun 4 · 07:55S. Juzek—71111113W. Buczynski—116761
WMay 28 · 14:45S. Juzek—118911113W. Buczynski—41111892
S. Juzek10
WSep 9 · 15:05S. Juzek1.551111113B. Madej2.257570LSep 9 · 13:55S. Juzek1.941311571W. Urban1.71111311113LSep 9 · 12:45M. Rus2.701113123S. Juzek1.37811100LSep 9 · 11:55S. Juzek2.486660K. Adamus1.431111113WSep 9 · 10:20S. Juzek1.41811911153M. Rus2.60114113132WSep 9 · 09:05S. Juzek1.501311123B. Madej2.40117100LSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113LSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572WSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491WSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 9 · 15:30M. Rus2.557950W. Buczynski1.411111113LSep 9 · 14:45W. Buczynski2.601031181K. Adamus1.4112115113WSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491WSep 9 · 12:20B. Madej2.4461171192W. Buczynski1.45114115113WSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113LSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113LSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981LSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491LSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561
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