TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13144624
Played Sep 17Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
3.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116811116––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.27
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:12 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
119116811116––
H2H Witold Buczynski 12–27 Kacper Slawinski Witold Buczynski has won 12 of their 39 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Buczynski beat Slawinski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Slawinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-27 in 39
Slawinski
Wrong
gap of 15 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1361 vs Slawinski 1477
Slawinski
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 60% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 60% vs Slawinski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski +2 · Slawinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 3.30 / Slawinski 1.27
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Slawinski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13144624
Buczynski3.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 188 of 505
Down 0–1, comes back22% 67 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 167
Slawinski1.27
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 121 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it98% 56 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuczynski3wins
AwaySlawinski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski75%3 of 4
AwaySlawinski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski4Slawinski6n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S2Buczynski4Slawinski6n = 10Slawinski took 6 of 10
S3Buczynski5Slawinski5n = 10split evenly
S4Buczynski4Slawinski3n = 7Buczynski took 4 of 7
S5Buczynski0Slawinski3n = 3Slawinski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuczynskiSlawinskiB − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.038.6−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 1113 vs 627 / 101339.4%61.9%438 / 1113 vs 627 / 1013Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiBuczynski 3.30/Slawinski 1.27
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.2%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:20W. Buczynski331111113K. Slawinski269890
LSep 8 · 13:55W. Buczynski4111113882K. Slawinski50981111113
LSep 8 · 07:55W. Buczynski28761141K. Slawinski3911116113
LAug 15 · 13:55W. Buczynski226790K. Slawinski331111113
LAug 15 · 04:10W. Buczynski3966121142K. Slawinski511111108113
WDec 4 · 17:40W. Buczynski3911116113K. Slawinski33981151
LDec 4 · 11:40W. Buczynski4391111121K. Slawinski4711139143
WNov 20 · 14:10W. Buczynski4111118113K. Slawinski27531181
LNov 20 · 06:30W. Buczynski4788121182K. Slawinski471111104113
LNov 3 · 17:40W. Buczynski177280K. Slawinski331111113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 17 · 17:05W. Buczynski2.091111113O. Sokolowski1.614530WSep 17 · 15:30W. Buczynski2.2211811113K. Schaniel1.54511771WSep 17 · 12:45W. Buczynski1.8481111133W. Glanowski1.801199111WSep 17 · 11:30W. Buczynski2.151111614113M. Baron1.6046111672LSep 17 · 10:20W. Glanowski1.8571111113W. Buczynski1.78115651WSep 17 · 09:30K. Schaniel1.6811811962W. Buczynski2.05511311113LSep 17 · 08:45W. Buczynski1.86811671O. Sokolowski1.8511611113WSep 17 · 07:10W. Buczynski2.16713615113M. Baron1.571111111392WSep 17 · 06:20K. Slawinski1.289890W. Buczynski3.151111113LSep 9 · 16:20S. Juzek1.881111113W. Buczynski1.822560
K. Slawinski10
WSep 17 · 16:40K. Slawinski1.391111113M. Baron2.606570WSep 17 · 15:05W. Glanowski2.97611361K. Slawinski1.3511511113WSep 17 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.371111113O. Sokolowski2.703880LSep 17 · 12:20K. Slawinski1.555111111112K. Schaniel2.25115139133LSep 17 · 10:40K. Slawinski1.39181191M. Baron2.6011117113WSep 17 · 09:05W. Glanowski3.3071190K. Slawinski1.251113113WSep 17 · 08:20K. Schaniel2.25911481K. Slawinski1.5511711113LSep 17 · 07:30K. Slawinski1.4611511782O. Sokolowski2.55611211113LSep 17 · 06:20K. Slawinski1.289890W. Buczynski3.151111113WSep 15 · 14:20P. Przewlocki2.009660K. Slawinski1.731111113
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