TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13145054
Played Sep 17Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
2.09
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114115113––––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.61
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:32 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
45 points played in total.
Set by set
114115113––––
H2H Witold Buczynski 2–7 Oliwier Sokolowski Witold Buczynski has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Sokolowski beat Buczynski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:32What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (56%)
Sokolowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Sokolowski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1388 vs Sokolowski 1359
Buczynski
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 80% vs Sokolowski 40%
Buczynski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 70% vs Sokolowski 50%
Buczynski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski +4 · Sokolowski +2
Buczynski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 2.09 / Sokolowski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sokolowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13145054
Buczynski2.09
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 188 of 505
Down 0–1, comes back22% 67 of 300
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 167
Sokolowski1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 75 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBuczynski2wins
AwaySokolowski7wins
5 of 9 to a deciderSokolowski leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski66.7%2 of 3
AwaySokolowski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski3Sokolowski6n = 9Sokolowski took 6 of 9
S2Buczynski5Sokolowski4n = 9Buczynski took 5 of 9
S3Buczynski6Sokolowski3n = 9Buczynski took 6 of 9
S4Buczynski4Sokolowski3n = 7Buczynski took 4 of 7
S5Buczynski0Sokolowski5n = 5Sokolowski took 5 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away556%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricBuczynskiSokolowskiB − SBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match41.940.4+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 1115 vs 237 / 55139.5%43%440 / 1115 vs 237 / 551Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiBuczynski 2.09/Sokolowski 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 17 · 08:45W. Buczynski32811671O. Sokolowski3911611113
LAug 1 · 09:00W. Buczynski348115101O. Sokolowski4211811123
WAug 1 · 04:30W. Buczynski331111113O. Sokolowski208930
WJun 16 · 13:55W. Buczynski331111113O. Sokolowski101540
LJun 16 · 04:10W. Buczynski571311131282O. Sokolowski6011131114113
LMay 30 · 12:20W. Buczynski3946111172O. Sokolowski48111187113
LMay 30 · 08:20W. Buczynski54891116102O. Sokolowski541111614123
LDec 20 · 13:45W. Buczynski48101191172O. Sokolowski48128116113
LDec 20 · 11:20W. Buczynski47691111102O. Sokolowski43111145123
W. Buczynski10
WSep 17 · 15:30W. Buczynski2.2211811113K. Schaniel1.54511771WSep 17 · 14:20W. Buczynski3.3011118113K. Slawinski1.27961161WSep 17 · 12:45W. Buczynski1.8481111133W. Glanowski1.801199111WSep 17 · 11:30W. Buczynski2.151111614113M. Baron1.6046111672LSep 17 · 10:20W. Glanowski1.8571111113W. Buczynski1.78115651WSep 17 · 09:30K. Schaniel1.6811811962W. Buczynski2.05511311113LSep 17 · 08:45W. Buczynski1.86811671O. Sokolowski1.8511611113WSep 17 · 07:10W. Buczynski2.16713615113M. Baron1.571111111392WSep 17 · 06:20K. Slawinski1.289890W. Buczynski3.151111113LSep 9 · 16:20S. Juzek1.881111113W. Buczynski1.822560
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 17 · 15:55O. Sokolowski1.90961212113M. Baron1.811111101082WSep 17 · 14:45K. Schaniel1.809590O. Sokolowski1.911111113LSep 17 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.371111113O. Sokolowski2.703880LSep 17 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.001111113O. Sokolowski1.704960LSep 17 · 11:05K. Schaniel1.7511115133O. Sokolowski1.893111111LSep 17 · 09:55O. Sokolowski1.9051070M. Baron1.801112113WSep 17 · 08:45W. Buczynski1.86811671O. Sokolowski1.8511611113WSep 17 · 07:30K. Slawinski1.4611511782O. Sokolowski2.55611211113WSep 17 · 05:55W. Glanowski2.10811791O. Sokolowski1.6011911113LSep 16 · 20:45O. Sokolowski1.855911121M. Adamus1.8011118143
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