TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143758
Played Sep 17Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012711––––
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
5111012711––––
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 2–4 Mariusz Baron Oliwier Sokolowski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:42What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Baron
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Baron
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1393 vs Baron 1282
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 80% vs Baron 40%
Sokolowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 60% vs Baron 30%
Sokolowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +3 · Baron +1
Sokolowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.90 / Baron 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sokolowski)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13143758
Sokolowski1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 113 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back20% 36 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 109
Baron1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 202 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it82% 95 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it69% 143 of 207
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSokolowski2wins
AwayBaron4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderBaron leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski66.7%2 of 3
AwayBaron100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski3Baron3n = 6split evenly
S2Sokolowski3Baron3n = 6split evenly
S3Sokolowski3Baron3n = 6split evenly
S4Sokolowski2Baron2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSokolowskiBaronS − BBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.041.5−5.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 545 vs 866 / 180843.1%47.9%235 / 545 vs 866 / 1808Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.90/Baron 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 9 · 23:35O. Sokolowski408913101M. Baron45111111123
LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski3711711352M. Baron44411711113
LAug 13 · 08:45O. Sokolowski178540M. Baron331111113
WAug 13 · 24:25O. Sokolowski361312113M. Baron30111090
LAug 11 · 12:45O. Sokolowski42311151122M. Baron57119179113
WAug 11 · 10:20O. Sokolowski4411117153M. Baron409711131
O. Sokolowski10
WSep 17 · 08:45W. Buczynski1.86811671O. Sokolowski1.8511611113WSep 17 · 07:30K. Slawinski1.4611511782O. Sokolowski2.55611211113WSep 17 · 05:55W. Glanowski2.10811791O. Sokolowski1.6011911113LSep 16 · 20:45O. Sokolowski1.855911121M. Adamus1.8011118143WSep 16 · 19:10O. Sokolowski1.9911812123S. Krupa1.6781110101LSep 16 · 18:00O. Sokolowski1.701379121A. Ruszkiewicz1.95111111143LSep 16 · 16:25O. Sokolowski2.505640M. Koczyba1.471111113WSep 16 · 15:10O. Sokolowski1.59116812123J. Kaczmarek2.138111110102WSep 13 · 05:05O. Sokolowski1.901111123K. Schaniel1.7579100LSep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski2.0489100R. Wiza1.711111123
M. Baron10
WSep 17 · 10:40K. Slawinski1.39181191M. Baron2.6011117113WSep 17 · 07:55W. Glanowski2.17910111192M. Baron1.56111258113LSep 17 · 07:10W. Buczynski2.16713615113M. Baron1.571111111392LSep 17 · 05:30K. Schaniel1.801011124113M. Baron1.83126101152WSep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.631111113K. Hetnar1.448850LSep 15 · 13:05M. Baron1.83116111192P. Gumulinski1.83711139113LSep 15 · 11:50M. Baron2.20121381082P. Przewlocki1.6110111112113LSep 15 · 10:10M. Baron1.8311714992M. Sikon1.837111211113LSep 15 · 09:00M. Baron3.005117121K. Slawinski1.3611811143WSep 15 · 07:45M. Sikon1.83146111272M. Baron1.831611710113
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