TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143771
Played Sep 17Finished
Waldemar Glanowski
Home
2.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111012115118911
Mariusz Baron
Away
1.56
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWaldemar Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
9111012115118911
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 4–5 Mariusz Baron Waldemar Glanowski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:45What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Baron
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1247 vs Baron 1271
Baron
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 60% vs Baron 20%
Glanowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 30% vs Baron 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski +1 · Baron -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Baron) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 2.17 / Baron 1.56
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Baron)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13143771
Glanowski2.17
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 77 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 67
Baron1.56
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 202 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it82% 95 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it69% 143 of 207
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeGlanowski4wins
AwayBaron5wins
7 of 9 to a deciderBaron leads 5–4, and 7 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski57.1%4 of 7
AwayBaronn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski7Baron2n = 9Glanowski took 7 of 9
S2Glanowski4Baron5n = 9Baron took 5 of 9
S3Glanowski4Baron5n = 9Baron took 5 of 9
S4Glanowski3Baron6n = 9Baron took 6 of 9
S5Glanowski3Baron4n = 7Baron took 4 of 7
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricGlanowskiBaronG − BBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match46.848.9−2.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 737 vs 866 / 180853.3%47.9%393 / 737 vs 866 / 1808Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaronGlanowski 2.17/Baron 1.56
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Baron · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 17 · 07:55W. Glanowski50910111192M. Baron47111258113
WAug 25 · 13:05W. Glanowski581512119113M. Baron55131481192
LAug 25 · 06:55W. Glanowski4471181172M. Baron47118116113
WJul 23 · 15:55W. Glanowski3911116113M. Baron35871191
LJul 23 · 09:55W. Glanowski47111158122M. Baron54991111143
LApr 23 · 11:30W. Glanowski321151241M. Baron4371114113
LApr 23 · 07:10W. Glanowski4111711662M. Baron51911911113
WMar 26 · 13:20W. Glanowski63211177173M. Baron631971111152
WMar 26 · 09:20W. Glanowski47118116113M. Baron4581171182
W. Glanowski10
LSep 17 · 09:05W. Glanowski3.3071190K. Slawinski1.251113113WSep 17 · 06:45K. Schaniel1.57119891W. Glanowski2.1581111113LSep 17 · 05:55W. Glanowski2.10811791O. Sokolowski1.6011911113LSep 10 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.6041080K. Adamus1.411112113WSep 10 · 15:05W. Glanowski2.0311911113J. Pelka1.65911881WSep 10 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.001111113K. Jablonski1.666970LSep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34771111113W. Glanowski2.8511113652LSep 10 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.9511812101O. Jadach1.3291114123LSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113LSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0341161592J. Pelka1.651141113113
M. Baron10
WSep 17 · 09:55O. Sokolowski1.9051070M. Baron1.801112113LSep 17 · 07:10W. Buczynski2.16713615113M. Baron1.571111111392LSep 17 · 05:30K. Schaniel1.801011124113M. Baron1.83126101152WSep 15 · 14:40M. Baron2.631111113K. Hetnar1.448850LSep 15 · 13:05M. Baron1.83116111192P. Gumulinski1.83711139113LSep 15 · 11:50M. Baron2.20121381082P. Przewlocki1.6110111112113LSep 15 · 10:10M. Baron1.8311714992M. Sikon1.837111211113LSep 15 · 09:00M. Baron3.005117121K. Slawinski1.3611811143WSep 15 · 07:45M. Sikon1.83146111272M. Baron1.831611710113LSep 15 · 06:55P. Gumulinski1.83139426133M. Baron1.8311111124112
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