TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13153561
Played Sep 19Finished
Pawel Polok
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1149111164111012
Waldemar Jozala
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:43 and never touched — 81.1% is still 81.1%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
81.1%
81.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Polok above · Waldemar Jozala below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-9
Point 86 set 5, 10-9 — our read held Pawel Polok at 81.1%
86 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Polok 1464 vs Jozala 1201
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 263 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 60% vs Jozala 40%
Polok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 60% vs Jozala 20%
Polok
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok +2 · Jozala +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Polok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jozala form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.20 / Jozala 4.33
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13153561
Polok1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 88 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it84% 73 of 87
Jozala4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 15 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokJozalaBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 203 vs 118 / 31864.5%37.1%131 / 203 vs 118 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.20/Jozala 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.1%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jozala won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Polok10
WSep 19 · 11:50P. Polok1.53111169113P. Adamus2.3895111172WSep 19 · 10:10P. Polok1.289151110113P. Mecik3.50111321282LSep 19 · 09:00P. Polok1.731291071W. Wojtaszczyk2.00101112113LSep 19 · 07:45R. Szymik2.75881111113P. Polok1.4011116562WSep 19 · 06:55A. Szurgot4.339690P. Polok1.201111113WSep 19 · 06:05P. Polok1.36111212113W. Buczynski3.009101491LSep 19 · 04:30P. Polok1.61111111962W. Wojtaszczyk2.20138311113WSep 19 · 03:50P. Mecik2.758520P. Polok1.401111113LSep 18 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek3.301114113P. Polok1.2791290WSep 18 · 07:35P. Polok1.4011611143Y. Fomin2.529119121
W. Jozala10
WSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113WSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 10:35W. Jozala4.33135861W. Wojtaszczyk1.20111111113WSep 19 · 09:50P. Adamus1.20101161162W. Jozala4.33129119113LSep 17 · 20:00W. Jozala4.255640M. Koczyba1.161111113LSep 17 · 18:45W. Jozala3.308340W. Pytlas1.251111113LSep 17 · 17:35W. Jozala4.1041111692M. Tkocz1.17118911113LSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560LSep 17 · 15:35W. Jozala4.25461371P. Zemla1.16111111113LSep 9 · 20:20W. Jozala2.604850M. Baron1.411111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Polok
W. Jozala
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.