TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13153556
Played Sep 19Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811116115116
Pawel Polok
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRobert Szymik above · Pawel Polok below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Pawel Polok at 67.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Robert Szymik 0–2 Pawel Polok Robert Szymik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1359 vs Polok 1483
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 60% vs Polok 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 50% vs Polok 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik +3 · Polok +2
Szymik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 2.75 / Polok 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13153556
Szymik2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Polok1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 88 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it84% 73 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSzymik0wins
AwayPolok2wins
Polok leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSzymikPolokS − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.539.5−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 945 vs 129 / 19964.9%64.8%613 / 945 vs 129 / 199Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokSzymik 2.75/Polok 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik419111381P. Polok4311615113
LSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik2812970P. Polok361411113
R. Szymik10
WSep 19 · 06:30R. Szymik1.731111113P. Mecik2.006670WSep 19 · 05:15R. Szymik2.2071115113W. Wojtaszczyk1.611181371WSep 19 · 04:10A. Szurgot5.50212461R. Szymik1.13111011113LSep 19 · 03:25R. Szymik1.6111791152W. Buczynski2.20811114113LSep 19 · 02:35K. Durak1.50811117113R. Szymik2.5011981112WSep 19 · 01:25R. Szymik1.571111113M. Baron2.255690WSep 19 · 24:10A. Szurgot4.505870R. Szymik1.171111113LSep 18 · 22:55I. Szymanski3.501211113R. Szymik1.2810750LSep 18 · 21:20J. Nowak2.001111113R. Szymik1.735790LSep 13 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3711651172R. Wiza2.70911116113
P. Polok10
WSep 19 · 06:55A. Szurgot4.339690P. Polok1.201111113WSep 19 · 06:05P. Polok1.36111212113W. Buczynski3.009101491LSep 19 · 04:30P. Polok1.61111111962W. Wojtaszczyk2.20138311113WSep 19 · 03:50P. Mecik2.758520P. Polok1.401111113LSep 18 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek3.301114113P. Polok1.2791290WSep 18 · 07:35P. Polok1.4011611143Y. Fomin2.529119121WSep 18 · 06:25M. Lebek2.10118851P. Polok1.6551111113WSep 18 · 05:10M. Adamus2.4091290P. Polok1.511114113LSep 18 · 03:35P. Kurek2.1511611113P. Polok1.60811591LSep 18 · 02:45M. Lebek2.141112113P. Polok1.5861070
Upcoming Matches
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P. Polok
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