TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13153557
Played Sep 19Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1167111171311––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatryk Mecik above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 66.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Mecik 1–7 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Patryk Mecik has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Wojtaszczyk beat Mecik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:35What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1261 vs Wojtaszczyk 1529
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 267 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 80%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 20% vs Wojtaszczyk 80%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -1 · Wojtaszczyk +4
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.75 / Wojtaszczyk 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13153557
Mecik2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 108 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Wojtaszczyk1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 367 of 529
Up 2–0, closes it97% 199 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it84% 286 of 339
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMecik1wins
AwayWojtaszczyk7wins
2 of 8 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 7–1, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayWojtaszczyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik1Wojtaszczyk7n = 8Wojtaszczyk took 7 of 8
S2Mecik4Wojtaszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S3Mecik0Wojtaszczyk8n = 8Wojtaszczyk took 8 of 8
S4Mecik2Wojtaszczyk3n = 5Wojtaszczyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricMecikWojtaszczykM − WBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match30.140.2−10.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 823 vs 559 / 82940%67.4%329 / 823 vs 559 / 829Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykMecik 2.75/Wojtaszczyk 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 19 · 08:10P. Mecik29711471W. Wojtaszczyk4011711113
WAug 17 · 15:55P. Mecik47811611113W. Wojtaszczyk4511811962
LAug 17 · 09:55P. Mecik4291181132W. Wojtaszczyk50119118113
LJun 9 · 06:00P. Mecik105320W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LMay 14 · 16:50P. Mecik195770W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LMay 6 · 08:45P. Mecik35119691W. Wojtaszczyk4181111113
LApr 20 · 14:20P. Mecik32712491W. Wojtaszczyk43111011113
LApr 20 · 06:20P. Mecik2761380W. Wojtaszczyk371115113
P. Mecik10
LSep 19 · 10:10P. Polok1.289151110113P. Mecik3.50111321282WSep 19 · 09:25P. Mecik1.8351113113W. Buczynski1.831181171LSep 19 · 08:10P. Mecik2.75711471W. Wojtaszczyk1.4011711113LSep 19 · 06:30R. Szymik1.731111113P. Mecik2.006670WSep 19 · 05:40A. Szurgot3.0081070P. Mecik1.361112113LSep 19 · 04:55P. Mecik2.10411111152W. Buczynski1.67117913113LSep 19 · 03:50P. Mecik2.758520P. Polok1.401111113LSep 16 · 08:00P. Mecik2.7081190S. Szostok1.411113113LSep 16 · 06:45P. Mecik2.10281311112M. Paszkiewicz1.601111114133LSep 16 · 05:35P. Mecik2.559540M. Lebek1.421111113
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 19 · 10:35W. Jozala4.33135861W. Wojtaszczyk1.20111111113WSep 19 · 09:00P. Polok1.731291071W. Wojtaszczyk2.00101112113WSep 19 · 08:10P. Mecik2.75711471W. Wojtaszczyk1.4011711113WSep 19 · 07:20W. Buczynski3.007670W. Wojtaszczyk1.361111113LSep 19 · 05:15R. Szymik2.2071115113W. Wojtaszczyk1.611181371WSep 19 · 04:30P. Polok1.61111111962W. Wojtaszczyk2.20138311113WSep 19 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50114991W. Wojtaszczyk1.0591111113LSep 13 · 14:40S. Szostok2.001111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.736860WSep 13 · 13:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.731111113J. Wieczerzak2.005880WSep 13 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.63116791W. Wojtaszczyk1.4481111113
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