TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13153504
Played Sep 19Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611711––––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWitold Buczynski above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 71.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Witold Buczynski 4–13 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Witold Buczynski has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-13 in 17
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1383 vs Wojtaszczyk 1501
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 80% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
Buczynski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 80% vs Wojtaszczyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski -1 · Wojtaszczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 3.00 / Wojtaszczyk 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13153504
Buczynski3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 194 of 498
Down 0–1, comes back23% 69 of 296
Down 0–2, comes back5% 8 of 162
Wojtaszczyk1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 367 of 529
Up 2–0, closes it97% 199 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it84% 286 of 339
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuczynski2wins
AwayWojtaszczyk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski40%2 of 5
AwayWojtaszczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski5Wojtaszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Buczynski2Wojtaszczyk8n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 8 of 10
S3Buczynski3Wojtaszczyk7n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 7 of 10
S4Buczynski1Wojtaszczyk2n = 3Wojtaszczyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuczynskiWojtaszczykB − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.233.7−3.5per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 1108 vs 557 / 82739.7%67.4%440 / 1108 vs 557 / 827Avg sets wonper match1.82.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykBuczynski 3.00/Wojtaszczyk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 07:20W. Buczynski207670W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 25 · 13:30W. Buczynski247890W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 25 · 07:20W. Buczynski42117101132W. Wojtaszczyk50711129113
LAug 19 · 06:05W. Buczynski2781090W. Wojtaszczyk341112113
LAug 4 · 14:40W. Buczynski34116891W. Wojtaszczyk3741111113
WAug 4 · 06:05W. Buczynski331111113W. Wojtaszczyk156630
LAug 3 · 13:55W. Buczynski238780W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LAug 3 · 08:35W. Buczynski32913100W. Wojtaszczyk381115123
WJul 29 · 13:55W. Buczynski371112143W. Wojtaszczyk30810120
W. Buczynski10
LSep 19 · 06:05P. Polok1.36111212113W. Buczynski3.009101491WSep 19 · 04:55P. Mecik2.10411111152W. Buczynski1.67117913113WSep 19 · 03:25R. Szymik1.6111791152W. Buczynski2.20811114113WSep 17 · 17:05W. Buczynski2.091111113O. Sokolowski1.614530WSep 17 · 15:30W. Buczynski2.2211811113K. Schaniel1.54511771WSep 17 · 14:20W. Buczynski3.3011118113K. Slawinski1.27961161WSep 17 · 12:45W. Buczynski1.8481111133W. Glanowski1.801199111WSep 17 · 11:30W. Buczynski2.151111614113M. Baron1.6046111672LSep 17 · 10:20W. Glanowski1.8571111113W. Buczynski1.78115651WSep 17 · 09:30K. Schaniel1.6811811962W. Buczynski2.05511311113
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 19 · 08:10P. Mecik2.75711471W. Wojtaszczyk1.4011711113LSep 19 · 05:15R. Szymik2.2071115113W. Wojtaszczyk1.611181371WSep 19 · 04:30P. Polok1.61111111962W. Wojtaszczyk2.20138311113WSep 19 · 03:00A. Szurgot8.50114991W. Wojtaszczyk1.0591111113LSep 13 · 14:40S. Szostok2.001111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.736860WSep 13 · 13:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.731111113J. Wieczerzak2.005880WSep 13 · 12:15Z. Sobkow2.63116791W. Wojtaszczyk1.4481111113WSep 13 · 11:00M. Lach2.00761191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311115113WSep 13 · 09:25A. Cichocki1.40741191W. Wojtaszczyk2.7511119113WSep 13 · 08:35Z. Sobkow2.25128981W. Wojtaszczyk1.57101111113
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