TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114118411119––
Rafal Wojcik
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:01 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
114118411119––
H2H Michal Oracz 28–6 Rafal Wojcik Rafal Wojcik has won 6 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-6 in 34
Oracz
Correct
gap of 22 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1401 vs Wojcik 1376
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 60% vs Wojcik 80%
Wojcik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 50% vs Wojcik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -2 · Wojcik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojcik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.50 / Wojcik 2.40
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Oracz)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13162336
Oracz1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 116 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it93% 74 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 120
Wojcik2.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 43 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz8wins
AwayWojcik2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz88.9%8 of 9
AwayWojcikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz9Wojcik1n = 10Oracz took 9 of 10
S2Oracz8Wojcik2n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S3Oracz6Wojcik4n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S4Oracz3Wojcik3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczWojcikO − WBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.832.7+6.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczWojcikBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 526 vs 205 / 47861.2%42.9%322 / 526 vs 205 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.50/Wojcik 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz30911731R. Wojcik4211911113
WSep 13 · 08:20M. Oracz341112113R. Wojcik2391040
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Oracz4111118113R. Wojcik36881191
WSep 6 · 07:30M. Oracz4112116123R. Wojcik3510411101
WAug 23 · 16:40M. Oracz341211113R. Wojcik2810990
LAug 23 · 09:55M. Oracz4611812872R. Wojcik518111011113
WMar 29 · 12:45M. Oracz5311111010113R. Wojcik4347121282
WMar 29 · 10:20M. Oracz331111113R. Wojcik227960
WMar 28 · 13:45M. Oracz341111123R. Wojcik2394100
WMar 28 · 11:20M. Oracz4211911113R. Wojcik24111571
M. Oracz10
LSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113LSep 20 · 07:55M. Oracz2.108960K. Slawinski1.601111113LSep 20 · 06:45O. Jadach1.851111113M. Oracz1.856640WSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz1.211111113R. Adach3.307470WSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540WSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123WSep 13 · 14:20F. Witczak1.939111111112M. Oracz1.78111387133LSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz1.41911731R. Wojcik2.7011911113WSep 13 · 10:40M. Oracz1.801211113P. Slosarczyk1.9010370
R. Wojcik10
LSep 20 · 08:20O. Jadach1.32164711113R. Wojcik2.70141111752WSep 20 · 07:30R. Wojcik1.501111113R. Adach2.407540WSep 20 · 06:20R. Wojcik1.8011914113P. Mecik1.907111291WSep 19 · 17:05R. Wojcik1.77111311113P. Slosarczyk1.93715671WSep 19 · 15:30R. Wojcik1.86911811113J. Slawomir1.8311811822LSep 19 · 14:20R. Wojcik1.90117711122J. Badura1.80411115143LSep 19 · 12:45R. Wojcik1.717860S. Sojka2.001111113WSep 19 · 11:30R. Wojcik1.67137911113O. Sokolowski2.10111111662LSep 19 · 10:20M. Adamus1.78311811113R. Wojcik1.9111711952WSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz1.41911731R. Wojcik2.7011911113
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