TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611911––––
Patryk Mecik
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:59 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911611911––––
H2H Michal Oracz 7–4 Patryk Mecik Patryk Mecik has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Oracz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1412 vs Mecik 1246
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 60% vs Mecik 20%
Oracz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Mecik 30%
Oracz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +1 · Mecik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mecik form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.52 / Mecik 2.35
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Oracz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13162328
Oracz1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 116 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it93% 74 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 120
Mecik2.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 107 of 285
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz6wins
AwayMecik4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz100%3 of 3
AwayMecik57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz3Mecik7n = 10Mecik took 7 of 10
S2Oracz4Mecik6n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S3Oracz5Mecik5n = 10split evenly
S4Oracz4Mecik4n = 8split evenly
S5Oracz4Mecik0n = 4Oracz took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczMecikO − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.5−0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 527 vs 329 / 82661.3%39.8%323 / 527 vs 329 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.52/Mecik 2.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 13 · 15:55M. Oracz496111110113P. Mecik4711981272
LJul 13 · 09:55M. Oracz2789100P. Mecik341111123
WJun 20 · 11:25M. Oracz4881611133P. Mecik4411148111
LOct 21 · 15:55M. Oracz248880P. Mecik331111113
WOct 21 · 09:55M. Oracz518111011113P. Mecik3911612372
WJul 7 · 14:45M. Oracz4111712113P. Mecik358111061
WJul 7 · 11:05M. Oracz47118611113P. Mecik4291111832
LApr 21 · 16:40M. Oracz33681271P. Mecik43111110113
WApr 21 · 10:40M. Oracz48116118123P. Mecik46811611102
LApr 20 · 13:10M. Oracz32911751P. Mecik4211911113
M. Oracz10
WSep 20 · 09:05M. Oracz1.5011114113R. Wojcik2.40481191LSep 20 · 07:55M. Oracz2.108960K. Slawinski1.601111113LSep 20 · 06:45O. Jadach1.851111113M. Oracz1.856640WSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz1.211111113R. Adach3.307470WSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540WSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123WSep 13 · 14:20F. Witczak1.939111111112M. Oracz1.78111387133LSep 13 · 13:30M. Oracz1.36312561O. Sokolowski2.90111011113LSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz1.41911731R. Wojcik2.7011911113WSep 13 · 10:40M. Oracz1.801211113P. Slosarczyk1.9010370
P. Mecik10
LSep 20 · 09:30O. Jadach1.2711126123P. Mecik2.9511011101WSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik1.6811711113R. Adach2.05611621LSep 20 · 07:10P. Mecik3.256750K. Slawinski1.301111113LSep 20 · 06:20R. Wojcik1.8011914113P. Mecik1.907111291LSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113LSep 19 · 12:40P. Mecik2.5099100P. Adamus1.501111123WSep 19 · 11:25P. Mecik2.7511711133W. Wojtaszczyk1.406117111LSep 19 · 10:10P. Polok1.289151110113P. Mecik3.50111321282WSep 19 · 09:25P. Mecik1.8351113113W. Buczynski1.831181171LSep 19 · 08:10P. Mecik2.75711471W. Wojtaszczyk1.4011711113
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