TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119116––––
Rafal Wojcik
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:24 and never touched — 65.6% is still 65.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
65.6%
65.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
117119116––––
H2H Michal Oracz 29–6 Rafal Wojcik Rafal Wojcik has won 6 of their 35 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Oracz beat Wojcik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-6 in 35
Oracz
Correct
gap of 23 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1397 vs Wojcik 1340
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 60% vs Wojcik 20%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Wojcik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -1 · Wojcik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Oracz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojcik form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.50 / Wojcik 2.40
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Oracz)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13163083
Oracz1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 116 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it93% 74 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 120
Wojcik2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 43 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz8wins
AwayWojcik2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz88.9%8 of 9
AwayWojcikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz9Wojcik1n = 10Oracz took 9 of 10
S2Oracz9Wojcik1n = 10Oracz took 9 of 10
S3Oracz5Wojcik5n = 10split evenly
S4Oracz3Wojcik3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczWojcikO − WBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.333.5+4.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczWojcikBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 531 vs 206 / 48361.2%42.7%325 / 531 vs 206 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.50/Wojcik 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.8%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 09:05M. Oracz3711114113R. Wojcik32481191
LSep 13 · 12:20M. Oracz30911731R. Wojcik4211911113
WSep 13 · 08:20M. Oracz341112113R. Wojcik2391040
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Oracz4111118113R. Wojcik36881191
WSep 6 · 07:30M. Oracz4112116123R. Wojcik3510411101
WAug 23 · 16:40M. Oracz341211113R. Wojcik2810990
LAug 23 · 09:55M. Oracz4611812872R. Wojcik518111011113
WMar 29 · 12:45M. Oracz5311111010113R. Wojcik4347121282
WMar 29 · 10:20M. Oracz331111113R. Wojcik227960
WMar 28 · 13:45M. Oracz341111123R. Wojcik2394100
M. Oracz10
LSep 20 · 13:55M. Oracz2.10915511102K. Slawinski1.601113119123WSep 20 · 12:45P. Mecik2.558860M. Oracz1.461111113WSep 20 · 11:55M. Oracz1.50411115113R. Adach2.3511361172LSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113WSep 20 · 09:05M. Oracz1.5011114113R. Wojcik2.40481191LSep 20 · 07:55M. Oracz2.108960K. Slawinski1.601111113LSep 20 · 06:45O. Jadach1.851111113M. Oracz1.856640WSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz1.211111113R. Adach3.307470WSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540WSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123
R. Wojcik10
LSep 20 · 14:20P. Mecik1.9891111113R. Wojcik1.60119891WSep 20 · 13:30R. Wojcik1.408121211113R. Adach2.39111014712LSep 20 · 12:20R. Wojcik2.95781191O. Jadach1.3611116113LSep 20 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.051414861K. Slawinski1.65121611113LSep 20 · 09:05M. Oracz1.5011114113R. Wojcik2.40481191LSep 20 · 08:20O. Jadach1.32164711113R. Wojcik2.70141111752WSep 20 · 07:30R. Wojcik1.501111113R. Adach2.407540WSep 20 · 06:20R. Wojcik1.8011914113P. Mecik1.907111291WSep 19 · 17:05R. Wojcik1.77111311113P. Slosarczyk1.93715671WSep 19 · 15:30R. Wojcik1.86911811113J. Slawomir1.8311811822
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