TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Oracz
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411113116511117
Rafal Adach
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:58 and never touched — 71.7% is still 71.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
71.7%
71.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
411113116511117
H2H Michal Oracz 5–2 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Oracz
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1391 vs Adach 1136
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 255 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 40% vs Adach 20%
Oracz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 50% vs Adach 10%
Oracz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -1 · Adach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.50 / Adach 2.35
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Oracz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13162316
Oracz1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 116 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it93% 74 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it79% 95 of 120
Adach2.35
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog31% won 81 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeOracz5wins
AwayAdach2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderOracz leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz100%5 of 5
AwayAdachn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz5Adach2n = 7Oracz took 5 of 7
S2Oracz4Adach3n = 7Oracz took 4 of 7
S3Oracz6Adach1n = 7Oracz took 6 of 7
S4Oracz1Adach2n = 3Adach took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricOraczAdachO − ABasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match34.628.6+6.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 528 vs 235 / 59261.2%39.7%323 / 528 vs 235 / 592Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.034.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.50/Adach 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz331111113R. Adach187470
WAug 30 · 13:10M. Oracz371112143R. Adach28610120
LAug 30 · 05:30M. Oracz28741161R. Adach4111118113
LAug 29 · 13:30M. Oracz30851161R. Adach3611113113
WAug 29 · 05:30M. Oracz341111123R. Adach2138100
WFeb 14 · 14:30M. Oracz331111113R. Adach144730
WFeb 14 · 08:30M. Oracz47117711113R. Adach4281111932
M. Oracz10
LSep 20 · 13:55M. Oracz2.10915511102K. Slawinski1.601113119123WSep 20 · 12:45P. Mecik2.558860M. Oracz1.461111113LSep 20 · 10:20M. Oracz1.529690P. Mecik2.351111113WSep 20 · 09:05M. Oracz1.5011114113R. Wojcik2.40481191LSep 20 · 07:55M. Oracz2.108960K. Slawinski1.601111113LSep 20 · 06:45O. Jadach1.851111113M. Oracz1.856640WSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz1.211111113R. Adach3.307470WSep 13 · 16:40M. Oracz1.521111113P. Slosarczyk2.376540WSep 13 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.7571110101M. Oracz1.9011812123WSep 13 · 14:20F. Witczak1.939111111112M. Oracz1.78111387133
R. Adach10
LSep 20 · 13:30R. Wojcik1.408121211113R. Adach2.39111014712LSep 20 · 11:05O. Jadach1.221211113R. Adach4.0010370WSep 20 · 09:55R. Adach4.0581111133K. Slawinski1.131189111LSep 20 · 08:45P. Mecik1.6811711113R. Adach2.05611621LSep 20 · 07:30R. Wojcik1.501111113R. Adach2.407540LSep 20 · 05:55M. Oracz1.211111113R. Adach3.307470LSep 19 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.601111113R. Adach2.157960LSep 19 · 03:55R. Adach2.2881070O. Sokolowski1.451112113LSep 19 · 02:45K. Juszczyk1.291111109113R. Adach2.8047121112LSep 19 · 01:30G. Sawicki1.671111113R. Adach1.898970
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