TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Miroslaw Warzecha 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012511115119711
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:25 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1012511115119711
H2H Jerzy Michalik 21–52 Miroslaw Warzecha Jerzy Michalik has won 21 of their 73 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-52 in 73
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 31 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1385 vs Warzecha 1436
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 60% vs Warzecha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 60% vs Warzecha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik +1 · Warzecha +3
Warzecha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 2.75 / Warzecha 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Warzecha)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13168677
Michalik2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 110 of 319
Down 0–1, comes back18% 33 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 108
Warzecha1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 349 of 482
Up 2–0, closes it97% 199 of 206
Up 1–0, closes it89% 260 of 293
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik2wins
AwayWarzecha8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWarzecha87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S2Michalik3Warzecha7n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S3Michalik3Warzecha7n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S4Michalik4Warzecha4n = 8split evenly
S5Michalik2Warzecha2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikWarzechaM − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.643.5−7.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 1183 vs 844 / 120047.3%70.3%559 / 1183 vs 844 / 1200Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaMichalik 2.75/Warzecha 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 01:10J. Michalik30581161M. Warzecha4111118113
LSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik4458111372M. Warzecha511111711113
LJul 30 · 01:10J. Michalik2577110M. Warzecha351111133
WJul 29 · 17:30J. Michalik47117411143M. Warzecha52911119122
LJul 10 · 05:05J. Michalik326411111M. Warzecha4411119133
WMay 28 · 02:45J. Michalik45711511113M. Warzecha4811911982
LMay 27 · 23:05J. Michalik206770M. Warzecha331111113
LMay 23 · 01:35J. Michalik368111071M. Warzecha4211812113
LMay 22 · 19:35J. Michalik4211671172M. Warzecha46411119113
LMay 4 · 04:25J. Michalik357111071M. Warzecha4311912113
J. Michalik10
WSep 21 · 23:10J. Michalik1.5411119123A. Staniczek2.254411101WSep 21 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.60371171J. Michalik2.1011119113LSep 21 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.30111711113J. Michalik2.80919671WSep 21 · 06:30A. Barton3.8586111192J. Michalik1.15111188113LSep 21 · 05:50D. Maszczynski3.00811611113J. Michalik1.2511911772WSep 21 · 04:30T. Kordaszewski3.958830J. Michalik1.201111113WSep 21 · 03:10W. Stechly3.65111148102J. Michalik1.17791111123LSep 18 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.611311113J. Michalik2.2011370LSep 18 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.41111011113J. Michalik2.71812971WSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100
M. Warzecha10
WSep 21 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.541111113A. Kubiak2.256580WSep 21 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.271111113A. Staniczek3.306540WSep 21 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.181111113D. Maszczynski4.258740WSep 21 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.5581111113P. Gesiarz2.25113891LSep 21 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.5411511482J. Cyndera2.25511911113LSep 21 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.57111161192A. Kubiak2.25138119113LSep 17 · 04:20W. Stechly5.8511118113M. Warzecha1.08991191WSep 17 · 03:30A. Krezel2.554890M. Warzecha1.451111113LSep 17 · 02:45M. Warzecha2.9010440A. Staniczek1.361211113WSep 17 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.2761111113K. Rybak3.43114481
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