TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Adam Staniczek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
1.54
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141149111210––
Adam Staniczek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1141149111210––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 54–27 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 27 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Michalik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-27 in 81
Michalik
Correct
gap of 27 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1376 vs Staniczek 1228
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 40% vs Staniczek 20%
Michalik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 50% vs Staniczek 10%
Michalik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -1 · Staniczek -3
Staniczek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.54 / Staniczek 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Michalik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13172785
Michalik1.54
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 135 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it75% 95 of 127
Staniczek2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog25% won 116 of 458
Down 0–1, comes back11% 33 of 293
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 220
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik6wins
AwayStaniczek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik71.4%5 of 7
AwayStaniczek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik7Staniczek3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S2Michalik7Staniczek3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S3Michalik7Staniczek3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S4Michalik1Staniczek4n = 5Staniczek took 4 of 5
S5Michalik1Staniczek2n = 3Staniczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikStaniczekM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.834.2+2.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 1184 vs 368 / 101047.2%36.4%559 / 1184 vs 368 / 1010Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.433.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikMichalik 1.54/Staniczek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.4%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik341111123A. Staniczek2028100
WSep 17 · 23:05J. Michalik351113113A. Staniczek2331190
LSep 15 · 02:45J. Michalik25116531A. Staniczek3631111113
WSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik331111113A. Staniczek152670
LAug 28 · 03:05J. Michalik238780A. Staniczek331111113
LAug 27 · 21:05J. Michalik4461213762A. Staniczek5411101111113
LAug 12 · 21:00J. Michalik4411911762A. Staniczek51911911113
WAug 12 · 16:35J. Michalik331111113A. Staniczek198470
WAug 7 · 03:55J. Michalik44121110113A. Staniczek371091261
WAug 6 · 21:55J. Michalik531611114113A. Staniczek5418991172
J. Michalik10
LSep 21 · 22:00J. Michalik2.75105111172M. Warzecha1.40121159113WSep 21 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.60371171J. Michalik2.1011119113LSep 21 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.30111711113J. Michalik2.80919671WSep 21 · 06:30A. Barton3.8586111192J. Michalik1.15111188113LSep 21 · 05:50D. Maszczynski3.00811611113J. Michalik1.2511911772WSep 21 · 04:30T. Kordaszewski3.958830J. Michalik1.201111113WSep 21 · 03:10W. Stechly3.65111148102J. Michalik1.17791111123LSep 18 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.611311113J. Michalik2.2011370LSep 18 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.41111011113J. Michalik2.71812971WSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100
A. Staniczek10
LSep 21 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.42111111113A. Staniczek2.60771321LSep 21 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.271111113A. Staniczek3.306540LSep 21 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.8051311842A. Kubiak1.391111411113WSep 21 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.251110771A. Staniczek1.5471211113LSep 21 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.5012118113A. Staniczek2.351061181LSep 21 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.411111123A. Staniczek2.6049100LSep 18 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.2212116113A. Staniczek3.701081181LSep 18 · 03:55A. Staniczek3.305850J. Zelezik1.211111113LSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100LSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392
Upcoming Matches
J. Michalik
A. Staniczek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.