TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Cyndera vs Adam Staniczek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171171113112––
Adam Staniczek
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:15 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1171171113112––
H2H Jakub Cyndera 42–15 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 15 of their 57 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Cyndera beat Staniczek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:15What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Cyndera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-15 in 57
Cyndera
Correct
gap of 27 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1400 vs Staniczek 1235
Cyndera
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 100% vs Staniczek 20%
Cyndera
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 70% vs Staniczek 20%
Cyndera
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera +6 · Staniczek -2
Cyndera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.42 / Staniczek 2.60
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Cyndera)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13168919
Cyndera1.42
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 131 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it100% 74 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it90% 101 of 112
Staniczek2.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog25% won 116 of 458
Down 0–1, comes back11% 33 of 293
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 220
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyndera8wins
AwayStaniczek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCyndera leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyndera85.7%6 of 7
AwayStaniczek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyndera7Staniczek3n = 10Cyndera took 7 of 10
S2Cyndera8Staniczek2n = 10Cyndera took 8 of 10
S3Cyndera8Staniczek2n = 10Cyndera took 8 of 10
S4Cyndera2Staniczek4n = 6Staniczek took 4 of 6
S5Cyndera2Staniczek1n = 3Cyndera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCynderaStaniczekC − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.332.5+6.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 591 vs 368 / 100955.5%36.5%328 / 591 vs 368 / 1009Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.033.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.42/Staniczek 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyndera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 15:35J. Cyndera341111123A. Staniczek2349100
WSep 14 · 21:35J. Cyndera495111110123A. Staniczek49119712102
WSep 14 · 15:35J. Cyndera4211911113A. Staniczek31511691
WSep 10 · 21:20J. Cyndera44811113113A. Staniczek4511591192
WSep 10 · 15:25J. Cyndera351111133A. Staniczek2155110
WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera331111113A. Staniczek145720
LAug 31 · 18:10J. Cyndera351111581A. Staniczek3913411113
WAug 14 · 01:55J. Cyndera45131011113A. Staniczek361112491
WAug 13 · 19:55J. Cyndera331111113A. Staniczek198740
LAug 10 · 21:35J. Cyndera4311114982A. Staniczek48691111113
J. Cyndera10
LSep 21 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.866840A. Kubiak1.801111113WSep 21 · 22:25M. Machelski2.509680J. Cyndera1.461111113WSep 21 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.3711137133D. Maszczynski2.8051111111WSep 21 · 18:45J. Cyndera1.851211113P. Gesiarz1.8010780WSep 21 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.86811511163A. Kubiak1.80113111142WSep 21 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.5411511482J. Cyndera2.25511911113WSep 21 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.411111123A. Staniczek2.6049100WSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791LSep 15 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.55119791M. Machelski2.3081111113LSep 14 · 23:35J. Cyndera2.108650A. Zmijewski1.601111113
A. Staniczek10
LSep 21 · 23:10J. Michalik1.5411119123A. Staniczek2.254411101LSep 21 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.271111113A. Staniczek3.306540LSep 21 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.8051311842A. Kubiak1.391111411113WSep 21 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.251110771A. Staniczek1.5471211113LSep 21 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.5012118113A. Staniczek2.351061181LSep 21 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.411111123A. Staniczek2.6049100LSep 18 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.2212116113A. Staniczek3.701081181LSep 18 · 03:55A. Staniczek3.305850J. Zelezik1.211111113LSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100LSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392
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