TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Urbaniec vs Jakub Kycelt 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115611911115611
Jakub Kycelt
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Kycelt to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Kycelt at 56.2%
86 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 2–5 Jakub Kycelt Radim Urbaniec has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kycelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Kycelt
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1761 vs Kycelt 1828
Kycelt
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 80% vs Kycelt 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 80% vs Kycelt 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Kycelt +4
Kycelt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kycelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.50 / Kycelt 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Kycelt)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168384
Urbaniec2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog39% won 177 of 454
Down 0–1, comes back21% 54 of 257
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 142
Kycelt1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwayKycelt5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKycelt leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec66.7%2 of 3
AwayKycelt100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec3Kycelt4n = 7Kycelt took 4 of 7
S2Urbaniec4Kycelt3n = 7Urbaniec took 4 of 7
S3Urbaniec3Kycelt4n = 7Kycelt took 4 of 7
S4Urbaniec1Kycelt5n = 6Kycelt took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricUrbaniecKyceltU − KBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match39.340.9−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 1277 vs 165 / 32850.9%50.3%650 / 1277 vs 165 / 328Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltUrbaniec 2.50/Kycelt 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJun 11 · 09:30R. Urbaniec357117101J. Kycelt3711311123
WJun 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec331111113J. Kycelt248790
LMay 5 · 09:30R. Urbaniec351110681J. Kycelt4391211113
LMay 5 · 08:00R. Urbaniec371211591J. Kycelt4514911113
LMar 10 · 10:00R. Urbaniec34811781J. Kycelt4011711113
WMar 10 · 09:00R. Urbaniec53139119113J. Kycelt44111151162
LFeb 21 · 03:30R. Urbaniec48105131192J. Kycelt531211118113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha2.101111651R. Urbaniec1.6713511113LSep 21 · 23:30M. Huk1.619121112113R. Urbaniec2.20111051482WSep 21 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.001111153M. Wagner1.7358130WSep 19 · 21:29R. Urbaniec1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010620WSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:30J. Tazler4.00691111112R. Urbaniec1.22111137133WSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570LSep 19 · 02:59R. Urbaniec2.3811812792R. Rose1.538111011113WSep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.50141173113R. Rose1.50126111182WSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682
J. Kycelt10
WSep 22 · 24:00J. Kycelt1.2261115123M. Wagner4.0011713101WSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha2.251111711102J. Kycelt1.57381113123WSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152WSep 10 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.385990J. Kycelt1.531111113LSep 10 · 15:00P. Gireth1.36127117113J. Kycelt3.00101181142LSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100LSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
J. Kycelt
Nothing scheduled
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