TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ladislav Tuma vs Oleh Plyska 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ladislav Tuma
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113118118113––
Oleh Plyska
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Oleh Plyska below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 76 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Ladislav Tuma at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Tuma 22–18 Oleh Plyska Oleh Plyska has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:45What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-18 in 40
Tuma
Correct
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1462 vs Plyska 1489
Plyska
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Plyska 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 40% vs Plyska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -1 · Plyska +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plyska form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.80 / Plyska 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tuma)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166754
Tuma1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 56 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Plyska1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 52 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma4wins
AwayPlyska6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderPlyska leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma50%2 of 4
AwayPlyska66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma4Plyska6n = 10Plyska took 6 of 10
S2Tuma7Plyska3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S3Tuma5Plyska5n = 10split evenly
S4Tuma1Plyska9n = 10Plyska took 9 of 10
S5Tuma4Plyska3n = 7Tuma took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaPlyskaT − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.244.5−2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaPlyskaBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 479 vs 329 / 66950.5%49.2%242 / 479 vs 329 / 669Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.80/Plyska 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 10 · 08:00L. Tuma529111110113O. Plyska4311471292
LJul 6 · 05:13L. Tuma4431412872O. Plyska5511121011113
WJul 4 · 07:00L. Tuma541112119113O. Plyska5081491182
LJun 21 · 18:30L. Tuma351151181O. Plyska4161113113
LJun 14 · 19:45L. Tuma4051351162O. Plyska521111118113
LMay 17 · 19:30L. Tuma28811631O. Plyska3711411113
WMay 10 · 06:00L. Tuma45611116113O. Plyska4411871172
LFeb 26 · 10:03L. Tuma361011691O. Plyska4112711113
WFeb 26 · 08:00L. Tuma45111148113O. Plyska3665111132
LJan 8 · 14:45L. Tuma4311611872O. Plyska46711611113
L. Tuma10
LSep 21 · 21:03O. Plyska2.001111113L. Tuma1.737790LSep 21 · 18:30J. Vasek1.6761111113L. Tuma2.10114791WSep 21 · 18:00M. Vana2.2510870L. Tuma1.571211113LSep 20 · 20:15L. Tuma2.10151211022F. Schmidtmayer1.6713101112113LSep 20 · 19:45L. Tuma1.67511851J. Hanacek2.1011811113WSep 20 · 18:15F. Schmidtmayer1.6795111162L. Tuma2.10111193113LSep 20 · 17:45K. Farsky1.531111113L. Tuma2.389590LSep 15 · 17:04M. Soukup1.671111113L. Tuma2.104960WSep 15 · 15:30P. Abraham2.101154111L. Tuma1.6791111133WSep 15 · 15:00L. Tuma1.531111113T. Stejskal2.388960
O. Plyska10
WSep 21 · 21:03O. Plyska2.001111113L. Tuma1.737790WSep 21 · 19:00M. Vana1.9171060O. Plyska1.801112113WSep 21 · 17:30J. Vasek2.2547111162O. Plyska1.57111199113LSep 19 · 12:23O. Plyska2.505890T. Hanke1.501111113LSep 19 · 11:45T. Bertho1.613111011113O. Plyska2.2011912862LSep 19 · 10:45M. Vana1.91611136133O. Plyska1.801171111112WSep 19 · 09:15T. Hanke1.5311101091O. Plyska2.3881212112WSep 14 · 09:04A. Dvoracek2.634111011O. Plyska1.4411812113WSep 14 · 07:30J. Mejzlik1.734115111O. Plyska2.0011711133WSep 14 · 07:00O. Plyska1.571111113A. Dvoracek2.256770
Upcoming Matches
L. Tuma
Nothing scheduled
O. Plyska
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