TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Vasil Salivonchyk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13115111155111214
Mykhailo Vivatenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Vivatenko to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasil Salivonchyk above · Mykhailo Vivatenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 98 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Mykhailo Vivatenko at 66.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Vasil Salivonchyk 6–18 Mykhailo Vivatenko Vasil Salivonchyk has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vivatenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-18 in 24
Vivatenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Salivonchyk 1240 vs Vivatenko 1235
Salivonchyk
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Salivonchyk 40% vs Vivatenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Salivonchyk 50% vs Vivatenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Salivonchyk -1 · Vivatenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vivatenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vivatenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSalivonchyk 2.50 / Vivatenko 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Vivatenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166160
Salivonchyk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 36 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back30% 15 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Vivatenko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 62 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it73% 47 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSalivonchyk3wins
AwayVivatenko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVivatenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalivonchyk33.3%2 of 6
AwayVivatenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Salivonchyk6Vivatenko4n = 10Salivonchyk took 6 of 10
S2Salivonchyk5Vivatenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Salivonchyk3Vivatenko7n = 10Vivatenko took 7 of 10
S4Salivonchyk3Vivatenko6n = 9Vivatenko took 6 of 9
S5Salivonchyk2Vivatenko3n = 5Vivatenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalivonchykVivatenkoS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.043.9−5.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalivonchykVivatenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 609 vs 154 / 27353.5%56.4%326 / 609 vs 154 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VivatenkoSalivonchyk 2.50/Vivatenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Vivatenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vivatenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 10:55V. Salivonchyk3911116562M. Vivatenko47771111113
WAug 31 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk483111211113M. Vivatenko4411914552
LAug 24 · 07:55V. Salivonchyk33115891M. Vivatenko4181111113
WJul 13 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk341211113M. Vivatenko2410860
LJun 15 · 08:55V. Salivonchyk32881151M. Vivatenko4111118113
WJun 8 · 04:55V. Salivonchyk5613101111113M. Vivatenko53111213982
LJun 7 · 18:25V. Salivonchyk3911651162M. Vivatenko50811119113
LMay 4 · 05:25V. Salivonchyk4451411772M. Vivatenko541112911113
LApr 6 · 07:25V. Salivonchyk31128651M. Vivatenko43101111113
LNov 15 · 09:25V. Salivonchyk24211561M. Vivatenko4211911113
V. Salivonchyk10
LSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk1.57113971O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113WSep 21 · 06:05V. Salivonchyk2.101111133D. Kasian1.6799110LSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.53119711133O. Maslovskyi2.38811114112LSep 20 · 16:25V. Salivonchyk1.91741181O. Maksymkiv1.8011119113LSep 20 · 14:55V. Salivonchyk1.616360M. Treschetka2.201111113WSep 20 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk1.611111113I. Fokin2.207760WSep 20 · 11:55V. Salivonchyk2.20111179113V. Kheresko1.6197111182LSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 09:55I. Fokin1.8310128121V. Salivonchyk1.83121011143
M. Vivatenko10
LSep 21 · 08:05M. Vivatenko2.75671191D. Kasian1.4011119113LSep 21 · 07:05V. Hel1.531111113M. Vivatenko2.388770WSep 21 · 05:35M. Vivatenko1.2811118113O. Maslovskyi3.50881171LSep 18 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.835880V. Kheresko1.831111113WSep 18 · 08:55M. Treschetka2.633130M. Vivatenko1.441111113WSep 18 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.61101111113I. Fokin2.20128851LSep 18 · 06:55H. Oliynyk2.751111113M. Vivatenko1.407860WSep 18 · 05:25M. Vivatenko1.2861111113O. Maslovskyi3.50118871WSep 14 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.57771111113V. Salivonchyk2.2511116562WSep 14 · 08:55H. Oliynyk2.755101111142M. Vivatenko1.40111275163
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