TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Lukas Veigl
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101311911711118
Tomas Liska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Veigl above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8
103 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Veigl 41–34 Tomas Liska Tomas Liska has won 34 of their 75 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Liska beat Veigl 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeigl 1.73 / Liska 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Veigl)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13165778
Veigl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 60 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it76% 40 of 53
Liska2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 82 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back19% 23 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVeigl6wins
AwayLiska4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeigl100%4 of 4
AwayLiska66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Veigl4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S2Veigl5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S3Veigl6Liska4n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S4Veigl4Liska4n = 8split evenly
S5Veigl3Liska0n = 3Veigl took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVeiglLiskaV − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.042.3+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeiglLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 532 vs 397 / 86452.1%46%277 / 532 vs 397 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.540.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglVeigl 1.73/Liska 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl331111113T. Liska227690
WSep 8 · 12:00L. Veigl47121311113T. Liska391015771
LJul 9 · 16:53L. Veigl3089130T. Liska371111153
WJul 9 · 15:45L. Veigl6715111711133T. Liska651313199112
WJun 27 · 19:15L. Veigl4361111153T. Liska401179131
LJun 20 · 19:30L. Veigl31311981T. Liska4111811113
WJun 11 · 14:00L. Veigl531311117113T. Liska4815761192
WApr 29 · 10:00L. Veigl51119119113T. Liska4991191192
LApr 19 · 09:30L. Veigl32951171T. Liska4011117113
L. Veigl10
LSep 20 · 15:45T. Liska1.80117111363L. Veigl1.9141191552WSep 20 · 14:45V. Burylov1.67911118102L. Veigl2.10116611123LSep 20 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.73111268113L. Veigl2.00810111152LSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113WSep 19 · 19:45L. Veigl2.20811117123M. Makara1.61118211102WSep 19 · 18:15L. Svoboda1.6781180L. Veigl2.101113113WSep 19 · 17:45V. Burylov1.6711126682L. Veigl2.107101111113LSep 17 · 08:48L. Veigl2.10109111142L. Dobias1.67121175113LSep 17 · 07:45L. Dobias1.6711411173L. Veigl2.106114151WSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113
T. Liska10
WSep 20 · 15:45T. Liska1.80117111363L. Veigl1.9141191552LSep 20 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.679111193T. Liska2.10117881LSep 20 · 13:45V. Burylov1.831111113T. Liska1.837590LSep 18 · 13:09T. Liska2.101071161L. Svoboda1.6712117113WSep 18 · 12:00V. Burylov1.83512117112T. Liska1.831110811133WSep 18 · 11:00L. Dobias1.5085111152T. Liska2.50111197113LSep 18 · 09:30L. Svoboda1.67111145113T. Liska2.1093111162LSep 17 · 12:18M. Makara1.67117117113T. Liska2.1041181192LSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592WSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131
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