TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Liska
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114711119131565
Lukas Veigl
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 6-5
Point 92 set 5, 6-5 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 33–41 Lukas Veigl Tomas Liska has won 33 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:56What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Liska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-41 in 74
Veigl
Wrong
gap of 8 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Liska 1609 vs Veigl 1728
Veigl
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Liska 40% vs Veigl 60%
Veigl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Liska 30% vs Veigl 60%
Veigl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Liska -3 · Veigl +1
Liska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 1.80 / Veigl 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Veigl)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13162034
Liska1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 40 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 29 of 44
Veigl1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 40 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLiska3wins
AwayVeigl7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska50%3 of 6
AwayVeigl100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska6Veigl4n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S2Liska5Veigl5n = 10split evenly
S3Liska4Veigl6n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S4Liska4Veigl4n = 8split evenly
S5Liska0Veigl4n = 4Veigl took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLiskaVeiglL − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.543.4−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 863 vs 277 / 53145.9%52.2%396 / 863 vs 277 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.340.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglLiska 1.80/Veigl 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 12:58T. Liska227690L. Veigl331111113
LSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska391015771L. Veigl47121311113
WJul 9 · 16:53T. Liska371111153L. Veigl3089130
LJul 9 · 15:45T. Liska651313199112L. Veigl6715111711133
LJun 27 · 19:15T. Liska401179131L. Veigl4361111153
WJun 20 · 19:30T. Liska4111811113L. Veigl31311981
LJun 11 · 14:00T. Liska4815761192L. Veigl531311117113
LApr 29 · 10:00T. Liska4991191192L. Veigl51119119113
WApr 19 · 09:30T. Liska4011117113L. Veigl32951171
LApr 5 · 08:29T. Liska44119113102L. Veigl47611711123
T. Liska10
LSep 20 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.679111193T. Liska2.10117881LSep 20 · 13:45V. Burylov1.831111113T. Liska1.837590LSep 18 · 13:09T. Liska2.101071161L. Svoboda1.6712117113WSep 18 · 12:00V. Burylov1.83512117112T. Liska1.831110811133WSep 18 · 11:00L. Dobias1.5085111152T. Liska2.50111197113LSep 18 · 09:30L. Svoboda1.67111145113T. Liska2.1093111162LSep 17 · 12:18M. Makara1.67117117113T. Liska2.1041181192LSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592WSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska2.1011101110102O. Kaderabek1.67712912123
L. Veigl10
WSep 20 · 14:45V. Burylov1.67911118102L. Veigl2.10116611123LSep 20 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.73111268113L. Veigl2.00810111152LSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113WSep 19 · 19:45L. Veigl2.20811117123M. Makara1.61118211102WSep 19 · 18:15L. Svoboda1.6781180L. Veigl2.101113113WSep 19 · 17:45V. Burylov1.6711126682L. Veigl2.107101111113LSep 17 · 08:48L. Veigl2.10109111142L. Dobias1.67121175113LSep 17 · 07:45L. Dobias1.6711411173L. Veigl2.106114151WSep 17 · 06:45M. Bouska1.7312119662L. Veigl2.001071111113WSep 17 · 05:15M. Stibor1.73714611122L. Veigl2.001112119143
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.