TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Prokupek vs Lukas Krok 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118511119611
Lukas Krok
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 57.3%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 7–3 Lukas Krok Lukas Krok has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 16:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Prokupek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Prokupek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1463 vs Krok 1518
Krok
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 40% vs Krok 60%
Krok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 30% vs Krok 50%
Krok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +2 · Krok -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.57 / Krok 2.25
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Krok)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165661
Prokupek1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 96 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it73% 69 of 95
Krok2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 59 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek7wins
AwayKrok3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrok50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek6Krok4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Prokupek7Krok3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S3Prokupek6Krok4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek3Krok2n = 5Prokupek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekKrokP − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.730.3+5.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime669 / 1405 vs 181 / 37947.6%47.8%669 / 1405 vs 181 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokProkupek 1.57/Krok 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 20:58J. Prokupek331111113L. Krok217770
LSep 15 · 18:30J. Prokupek33119761L. Krok3851111113
WSep 14 · 21:30J. Prokupek331111113L. Krok229670
WSep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek3961111113L. Krok30119551
LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek29511491L. Krok3711411113
WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek531191111113L. Krok3941113652
WAug 21 · 21:28J. Prokupek44101211113L. Krok351210581
LAug 21 · 20:30J. Prokupek2610970L. Krok341211113
WJul 6 · 18:30J. Prokupek331111113L. Krok206680
WMay 20 · 19:00J. Prokupek341111123L. Krok2789100
J. Prokupek10
WSep 21 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.5711117113L. Krok2.25671151WSep 21 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.83811911113T. Dousa1.8311511372WSep 21 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk1.83111375102J. Prokupek1.837111111123LSep 21 · 02:00V. Postelt1.7311127123J. Prokupek2.0081011101LSep 21 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.251111771D. Kouble1.5731311113LSep 20 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.381115591R. Krejci1.5371711113LSep 20 · 22:00P. Zmuda1.501111113J. Prokupek2.509870LSep 20 · 03:00R. Pavelka1.7391111143J. Prokupek2.001158121LSep 20 · 02:00J. Trefny1.7311411143J. Prokupek2.009117121LSep 20 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.205750D. Kouble1.611111113
L. Krok10
LSep 21 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.5711117113L. Krok2.25671151LSep 21 · 19:30L. Krok1.44881141Y. Holovatiuk2.6311117113WSep 21 · 18:30T. Dousa1.738980L. Krok2.001111113WSep 17 · 21:28L. Krok2.001111133T. Andrle1.7364110LSep 17 · 20:00K. Darin1.911112911113L. Krok1.8091411652WSep 17 · 19:00D. Parhomenko1.801014681L. Krok1.91121211113WSep 17 · 18:30L. Krok2.00681111113T. Andrle1.7311119882LSep 15 · 20:58L. Krok2.107770J. Prokupek1.671111113LSep 15 · 20:00K. Darin2.005131211113L. Krok1.73111510932LSep 15 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63101112113L. Krok1.441231071
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