TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Matyas Kolek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141131113116––
Pavel Kalvar
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:12 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeMatyas Kolek to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Kolek above · Pavel Kalvar below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Matyas Kolek at 54.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Kolek 1–0 Pavel Kalvar Pavel Kalvar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1352 vs Kalvar 1310
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 20% vs Kalvar 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 40% vs Kalvar 10%
Kolek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -1 · Kalvar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kalvar form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.80 / Kalvar 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164004
Kolek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it78% 35 of 45
Kalvar1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 10 days ago (Sep 11) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKolek1wins
AwayKalvar0wins
Kolek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKolekKalvarKolek − KalvarBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.026.0+18.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekKalvarBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 244 vs 7 / 2151.2%33.3%125 / 244 vs 7 / 21Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.80/Kalvar 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 21 · 06:00M. Kolek44111111113P. Kalvar26431361
M. Kolek10
LSep 18 · 20:58M. Kolek2.004780T. Kraninger1.731111113WSep 18 · 20:30T. Kraninger1.57511751M. Kolek2.2511411113LSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113LSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780LSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470WSep 17 · 12:30F. Zurek1.7369131192M. Kolek2.001111119113WSep 17 · 11:30M. Kolek1.9111118113E. Sionkala1.80991141LSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152LSep 17 · 08:58M. Kolek1.7310114141P. Varecha2.0012411163WSep 17 · 08:30P. Varecha1.6111612101M. Kolek2.2021114123
P. Kalvar10
LSep 21 · 07:00P. Kalvar1.9112890J. Stach1.801411113LSep 11 · 17:00P. Kalvar1.6891111772A. Schneeberger2.05117911113WSep 11 · 16:00P. Kalvar1.731114811113J. Peter2.00712111362LSep 11 · 15:30A. Schneeberger2.20861112113P. Kalvar1.61111121072LSep 11 · 14:00P. Kalvar1.737590D. Priesol2.001111113LDec 22 · 10:00R. Vidlicka1.80611711123P. Kalvar1.91115117102LDec 22 · 09:30P. Kalvar1.80571161E. Sionkala1.9111116113LDec 22 · 08:00P. Kalvar1.8051112892J. Stach1.911121011113LDec 22 · 07:00R. Vidlicka2.631111113P. Kalvar1.445650LNov 21 · 18:26D. Mikula1.831411116113P. Kalvar1.8316591192
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.