TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Pavel Kalvar
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214811911––––
Jiri Stach
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Stach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Kalvar above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 65 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Stach at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kalvar 0–2 Jiri Stach Pavel Kalvar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kalvar 1294 vs Stach 1339
Stach
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kalvar 20% vs Stach 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kalvar 10% vs Stach 30%
Stach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kalvar -2 · Stach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKalvar 1.91 / Stach 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stach)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165714
Kalvar1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Stach1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it93% 28 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKalvar0wins
AwayStach2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderStach leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKalvarStachK − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match37.040.5−3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKalvarStachBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 22 vs 145 / 31631.8%45.9%7 / 22 vs 145 / 316Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachKalvar 1.91/Stach 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 21 · 07:00P. Kalvar2912890J. Stach361411113
LDec 22 · 08:00P. Kalvar4551112892J. Stach451121011113
P. Kalvar10
LSep 21 · 06:00M. Kolek1.80111111113P. Kalvar1.91431361LSep 11 · 17:00P. Kalvar1.6891111772A. Schneeberger2.05117911113WSep 11 · 16:00P. Kalvar1.731114811113J. Peter2.00712111362LSep 11 · 15:30A. Schneeberger2.20861112113P. Kalvar1.61111121072LSep 11 · 14:00P. Kalvar1.737590D. Priesol2.001111113LDec 22 · 10:00R. Vidlicka1.80611711123P. Kalvar1.91115117102LDec 22 · 09:30P. Kalvar1.80571161E. Sionkala1.9111116113LDec 22 · 08:00P. Kalvar1.8051112892J. Stach1.911121011113LDec 22 · 07:00R. Vidlicka2.631111113P. Kalvar1.445650LNov 21 · 18:26D. Mikula1.831411116113P. Kalvar1.8316591192
J. Stach10
LSep 21 · 06:30J. Stach1.2510180Z. Zientek3.751211113WSep 15 · 20:58M. Kolek1.61118111132J. Stach2.20131164113LSep 15 · 20:00M. Kolek1.83121112113J. Stach1.831031471LSep 15 · 19:00M. Jasek1.731111113J. Stach2.008590LSep 15 · 18:30J. Stach1.73351181J. Peter2.0011116113LSep 14 · 13:00J. Stach2.204280I. Taichman1.611111113LSep 14 · 12:00I. Taichman1.441111113J. Stach2.634060WSep 14 · 11:00P. Varecha2.20115137162J. Stach1.617111111183LSep 14 · 10:30J. Stach1.91411171142M. Kowolowski1.801161513113WDec 22 · 08:00P. Kalvar1.8051112892J. Stach1.911121011113
Upcoming Matches
P. Kalvar
J. Stach
Nothing scheduled
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