TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Postelt
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1186111155111210
Erik Mares
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Postelt above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 90 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Postelt 65–53 Erik Mares Erik Mares has won 53 of their 118 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:33What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mares
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-53 in 118
Postelt
Correct
gap of 12 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1860 vs Mares 1884
Mares
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 60% vs Mares 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 60% vs Mares 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +2 · Mares -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.83 / Mares 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Postelt)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163906
Postelt1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Mares1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt4wins
AwayMares6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMares leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt33.3%1 of 3
AwayMares57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S2Postelt3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Postelt5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S4Postelt4Mares4n = 8split evenly
S5Postelt3Mares2n = 5Postelt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltMaresP − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.842.8−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 713 vs 601 / 119247%50.4%335 / 713 vs 601 / 1192Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.83/Mares 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 02:30T. Postelt591212811162E. Mares6210101113183
WSep 13 · 21:30T. Postelt3411111113E. Mares23115431
WSep 13 · 18:00T. Postelt50641114153E. Mares551111812132
LSep 7 · 14:00T. Postelt33157561E. Mares46131111113
WSep 6 · 06:00T. Postelt46113911123E. Mares48911117102
LAug 26 · 06:30T. Postelt3645111152E. Mares43111155113
LAug 20 · 10:00T. Postelt33681181E. Mares3811115113
LAug 19 · 15:00T. Postelt2382130E. Mares371111153
LAug 18 · 14:00T. Postelt268990E. Mares331111113
WAug 17 · 15:30T. Postelt481011115113E. Mares4312481182
T. Postelt10
WSep 21 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.4079111192T. Postelt2.75111166113WSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162WSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113LSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WSep 13 · 21:30E. Mares1.80115431T. Postelt1.9011111113WSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872LSep 13 · 19:00T. Postelt2.5031111782T. Kos1.50119911113WSep 13 · 18:00E. Mares1.911111812132T. Postelt1.80641114153
E. Mares10
WSep 21 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.801112961E. Mares1.9161411113LSep 21 · 14:30E. Mares2.101113117132V. Koubek1.67315411153WSep 20 · 13:30J. Cernik1.55111411862E. Mares2.30816911113WSep 20 · 12:30J. Medek1.50610111172E. Mares2.50111259113WSep 20 · 11:30E. Mares2.751111113D. Opanasiuk1.406790LSep 20 · 10:30J. Cernik1.611311113E. Mares2.2011980LSep 19 · 21:00Z. Bilek2.302411169113E. Mares1.55268141182WSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162LSep 13 · 21:30E. Mares1.80115431T. Postelt1.9011111113LSep 13 · 18:00E. Mares1.911111812132T. Postelt1.80641114153
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