TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13144353
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3118111315––––
Tomas Postelt
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 61 set 3, 13-15
61 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 28–22 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 22 of their 50 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Zahradka beat Postelt 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.50 / Postelt 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Postelt)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13144353
Zahradka2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 70 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Postelt1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 49 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it65% 33 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka6wins
AwayPostelt4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka66.7%4 of 6
AwayPostelt50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka6Postelt4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S2Zahradka7Postelt3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S3Zahradka6Postelt4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka4Postelt3n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S5Zahradka2Postelt3n = 5Postelt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaPosteltZ − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.837.8+5.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 904 vs 336 / 72148%46.6%434 / 904 vs 336 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltZahradka 2.50/Postelt 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 22:00M. Zahradka48811711113T. Postelt4011511762
LSep 13 · 20:30M. Zahradka52111115872T. Postelt55791711113
LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka45101181152T. Postelt47129114113
WSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka381116113T. Postelt2561450
LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka53716111182T. Postelt55111878113
WSep 7 · 15:00M. Zahradka341111123T. Postelt1835100
WAug 20 · 12:58M. Zahradka43311117113T. Postelt4011591142
WAug 20 · 12:30M. Zahradka46111113113T. Postelt357131141
LMay 18 · 16:30M. Zahradka36117991T. Postelt4291111113
WMay 14 · 07:30M. Zahradka331111113T. Postelt216870
M. Zahradka10
LSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 24:30M. Zahradka1.73119831M. Huk2.0071111113WSep 16 · 23:00M. Zahradka3.50251016113E. Mares1.2823121461WSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WSep 16 · 21:28J. Ruzicka2.383870M. Zahradka1.531111113WSep 16 · 20:00P. Bradach2.10981181M. Zahradka1.6711119113WSep 16 · 19:00M. Huk2.1081050M. Zahradka1.671112113LSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113LSep 15 · 21:30E. Mares1.281121013113M. Zahradka3.20811121162WSep 15 · 20:30M. Zahradka2.2011114113Z. Bilek1.61681141
T. Postelt10
LSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162WSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113LSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WSep 13 · 21:30E. Mares1.80115431T. Postelt1.9011111113WSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872LSep 13 · 19:00T. Postelt2.5031111782T. Kos1.50119911113WSep 13 · 18:00E. Mares1.911111812132T. Postelt1.80641114153WSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113LSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450
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