TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Zajicek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711911116116911
Tomas Postelt
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zajicek 9–5 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:02What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zajicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Zajicek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1891 vs Postelt 1848
Zajicek
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 60% vs Postelt 40%
Zajicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 40% vs Postelt 60%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek -1 · Postelt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.40 / Postelt 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Zajicek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164618
Zajicek1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 102 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Postelt2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 58 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back32% 25 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZajicek7wins
AwayPostelt3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek85.7%6 of 7
AwayPostelt66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek7Postelt3n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S2Zajicek7Postelt3n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S3Zajicek2Postelt8n = 10Postelt took 8 of 10
S4Zajicek5Postelt4n = 9Zajicek took 5 of 9
S5Zajicek3Postelt0n = 3Zajicek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZajicekPosteltZ − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.740.6+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 638 vs 337 / 72152.4%46.7%334 / 638 vs 337 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekZajicek 1.40/Postelt 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 17:30J. Zajicek3812114113T. Postelt311031171
LAug 19 · 14:00J. Zajicek351157121T. Postelt4591111143
WJul 3 · 23:00J. Zajicek4717811113T. Postelt391511671
WAug 11 · 02:00J. Zajicek4211137113T. Postelt356111171
WAug 5 · 13:30J. Zajicek341111123T. Postelt2376100
WAug 5 · 10:00J. Zajicek46114811123T. Postelt43511116102
WJul 4 · 02:30J. Zajicek48711712113T. Postelt47117111082
WJun 14 · 20:30J. Zajicek49111296113T. Postelt50910111192
LJun 1 · 11:30J. Zajicek417111581T. Postelt4711817113
LMay 24 · 08:30J. Zajicek376127121T. Postelt46111011143
J. Zajicek10
LSep 21 · 15:30V. Koubek2.6371111113J. Zajicek1.44117551LSep 20 · 17:30J. Medek1.83119115113J. Zajicek1.8371181172WSep 20 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.441111123J. Cernik2.6387100WSep 20 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk2.506880J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 20 · 14:00J. Zajicek2.10231190J. Medek1.672513113WSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113LSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.838111081E. Mares1.8311912113LSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462LSep 13 · 21:30L. Boruvka1.161111113J. Zajicek4.305490
T. Postelt10
WSep 21 · 15:00T. Postelt1.83116115123E. Mares1.83811511102WSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2.5038130T. Postelt1.501111153LSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162WSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113LSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WSep 13 · 21:30E. Mares1.80115431T. Postelt1.9011111113WSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872LSep 13 · 19:00T. Postelt2.5031111782T. Kos1.50119911113WSep 13 · 18:00E. Mares1.911111812132T. Postelt1.80641114153
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