TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Josef Medek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117911118511117
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Medek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Medek above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Josef Medek at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Josef Medek 138–94 Jan Zajicek Jan Zajicek has won 94 of their 232 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Medek beat Zajicek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zajicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
138-94 in 232
Medek
Correct
gap of 44 in 232, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Medek 1970 vs Zajicek 1889
Medek
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Medek 60% vs Zajicek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Medek 50% vs Zajicek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Medek +3 · Zajicek +2
Medek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Medek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMedek 1.83 / Zajicek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Medek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165759
Medek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zajicek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMedek7wins
AwayZajicek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMedek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMedek100%4 of 4
AwayZajicek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Medek4Zajicek6n = 10Zajicek took 6 of 10
S2Medek9Zajicek1n = 10Medek took 9 of 10
S3Medek9Zajicek1n = 10Medek took 9 of 10
S4Medek4Zajicek2n = 6Medek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMedekZajicekM − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.634.3+5.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMedekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 516 vs 335 / 63958.3%52.4%301 / 516 vs 335 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekMedek 1.83/Zajicek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Medek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 14:00J. Medek492513113J. Zajicek43231190
LSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek3871113432J. Zajicek501161111113
WSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek4291111113J. Zajicek35118791
WSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek331111113J. Zajicek173950
WSep 7 · 18:30J. Medek4291111113J. Zajicek31116951
LSep 7 · 14:00J. Medek47111171172J. Zajicek49139115113
WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek331111113J. Zajicek205690
LSep 5 · 14:30J. Medek409811121J. Zajicek4211116143
WSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek331111113J. Zajicek259970
WSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek3961111113J. Zajicek31117671
J. Medek10
WSep 20 · 16:30J. Medek1.831111113D. Opanasiuk1.836940WSep 20 · 15:00J. Medek2.10111112133J. Cernik1.675514111WSep 20 · 14:00J. Zajicek2.10231190J. Medek1.672513113LSep 20 · 12:58J. Medek1.5733111252D. Opanasiuk2.251111610113LSep 20 · 12:30J. Medek1.50610111172E. Mares2.50111259113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Medek2.10117881J. Cernik1.6771111113WSep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.1079110J. Medek1.671111133LSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113WSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113
J. Zajicek10
WSep 20 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.441111123J. Cernik2.6387100WSep 20 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk2.506880J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 20 · 14:00J. Zajicek2.10231190J. Medek1.672513113WSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113LSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.838111081E. Mares1.8311912113LSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462LSep 13 · 21:30L. Boruvka1.161111113J. Zajicek4.305490WSep 13 · 20:30J. Zajicek1.5011911113V. Koubek2.50411391WSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132
Upcoming Matches
J. Medek
Nothing scheduled
J. Zajicek
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