TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Vojtech Koubek
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117115115––
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koubek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Koubek above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Vojtech Koubek at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koubek 26–35 Jan Zajicek Vojtech Koubek has won 26 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:02What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zajicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-35 in 61
Zajicek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koubek 1843 vs Zajicek 1879
Zajicek
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koubek 60% vs Zajicek 40%
Koubek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koubek 50% vs Zajicek 30%
Koubek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koubek +1 · Zajicek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoubek 2.63 / Zajicek 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Zajicek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164617
Koubek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 34 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Zajicek1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 102 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoubek3wins
AwayZajicek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoubek66.7%2 of 3
AwayZajicek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koubek3Zajicek7n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S2Koubek2Zajicek8n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S3Koubek3Zajicek7n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S4Koubek2Zajicek2n = 4split evenly
S5Koubek2Zajicek1n = 3Koubek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoubekZajicekK − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.637.9−7.3per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 381 vs 334 / 63950.1%52.3%191 / 381 vs 334 / 639Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekKoubek 2.63/Zajicek 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koubek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek45115711113J. Zajicek3971111462
LSep 13 · 20:30V. Koubek27411391J. Zajicek4211911113
LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek197390J. Zajicek331111113
WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek341112113J. Zajicek2791080
WSep 7 · 15:00V. Koubek529101111113J. Zajicek4611127882
LAug 25 · 16:59V. Koubek259790J. Zajicek331111113
LAug 25 · 16:30V. Koubek28410140J. Zajicek391112163
LAug 11 · 20:30V. Koubek22102100J. Zajicek351211123
LJun 23 · 17:30V. Koubek2311660J. Zajicek351311113
LJun 23 · 15:30V. Koubek3111611122J. Zajicek50911811113
V. Koubek10
WSep 21 · 14:30E. Mares2.101113117132V. Koubek1.67315411153LSep 16 · 21:28E. Mares2.101111113V. Koubek1.675740LSep 16 · 20:00E. Mares2.0010121111113V. Koubek1.7312149882WSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113WSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462WSep 15 · 21:00V. Koubek1.911311113Z. Bilek1.8011990LSep 15 · 20:00E. Mares2.001111113V. Koubek1.738880LSep 15 · 19:00M. Zahradka2.501111113V. Koubek1.507560WSep 15 · 18:30V. Koubek1.801111113Z. Bilek1.919590LSep 13 · 21:00J. Cernik1.301413123V. Koubek3.401211100
J. Zajicek10
LSep 21 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.801112961E. Mares1.9161411113LSep 21 · 14:00J. Zajicek1.4079111192T. Postelt2.75111166113LSep 20 · 17:30J. Medek1.83119115113J. Zajicek1.8371181172WSep 20 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.441111123J. Cernik2.6387100WSep 20 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk2.506880J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 20 · 14:00J. Zajicek2.10231190J. Medek1.672513113WSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113LSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.838111081E. Mares1.8311912113LSep 16 · 18:30V. Koubek2.50115711113J. Zajicek1.5071111462
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