TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Illia Fokin
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113311411––––
Vsevolod Kheresko
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 72.4% is still 72.4%
Graded at full timeVsevolod Kheresko to win
72.4%
72.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIllia Fokin above · Vsevolod Kheresko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 53 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Vsevolod Kheresko at 72.4%
53 points played in total.
H2H Illia Fokin 7–12 Vsevolod Kheresko Illia Fokin has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kheresko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Kheresko
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fokin 1119 vs Kheresko 1314
Kheresko
Correct
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fokin 20% vs Kheresko 80%
Kheresko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fokin 30% vs Kheresko 90%
Kheresko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fokin +1 · Kheresko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kheresko) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFokin 3.75 / Kheresko 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Kheresko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161525
Fokin3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 35 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back28% 13 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Kheresko1.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 105 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFokin1wins
AwayKheresko9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKheresko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFokin33.3%1 of 3
AwayKheresko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fokin3Kheresko7n = 10Kheresko took 7 of 10
S2Fokin5Kheresko5n = 10split evenly
S3Fokin5Kheresko5n = 10split evenly
S4Fokin1Kheresko9n = 10Kheresko took 9 of 10
S5Fokin1Kheresko3n = 4Kheresko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFokinKhereskoF − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.144.9−8.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFokinKhereskoBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 281 vs 226 / 44152%51.3%146 / 281 vs 226 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhereskoFokin 3.75/Kheresko 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Kheresko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kheresko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 09:55I. Fokin27712261V. Kheresko43111011113
LSep 17 · 12:25I. Fokin30951151V. Kheresko4211119113
LSep 14 · 11:25I. Fokin51118137122V. Kheresko547111111143
LSep 13 · 14:55I. Fokin28211781V. Kheresko4211911113
LApr 30 · 10:55I. Fokin28711281V. Kheresko4111811113
LApr 29 · 17:25I. Fokin4471111872V. Kheresko46117611113
LApr 28 · 07:55I. Fokin32391191V. Kheresko4011117113
WApr 23 · 04:55I. Fokin49117911113V. Kheresko4791111972
LApr 22 · 18:55I. Fokin321112181V. Kheresko4591411113
LApr 14 · 13:25I. Fokin4071111742V. Kheresko49119711113
I. Fokin10
WSep 20 · 15:25O. Maksymkiv1.4471110111I. Fokin2.6311712133LSep 20 · 13:25V. Salivonchyk1.611111113I. Fokin2.207760LSep 20 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi1.9111711113I. Fokin1.80811771LSep 18 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi2.1011117113I. Fokin1.67781171LSep 18 · 09:55I. Fokin2.75712261V. Kheresko1.40111011113LSep 18 · 07:55M. Vivatenko1.61101111113I. Fokin2.20128851LSep 18 · 05:55M. Treschetka1.5081111153I. Fokin2.501135131WSep 18 · 04:55H. Oliynyk1.53111111962I. Fokin2.38541311113LSep 17 · 18:55O. Melnik1.3011711113I. Fokin3.40911961WSep 17 · 17:25I. Fokin2.63111111113O. Maksymkiv1.44134361
V. Kheresko10
WSep 20 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi3.2591181192V. Kheresko1.33119115113WSep 20 · 13:55M. Treschetka2.5011128962V. Kheresko1.50710111193LSep 20 · 11:55V. Salivonchyk2.20111179113V. Kheresko1.6197111182WSep 18 · 10:55M. Vivatenko1.835880V. Kheresko1.831111113WSep 18 · 09:55I. Fokin2.75712261V. Kheresko1.40111011113WSep 18 · 08:25H. Oliynyk1.501196101V. Kheresko2.5061111123WSep 18 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi2.63101050V. Kheresko1.441212113WSep 18 · 04:25M. Treschetka2.257570V. Kheresko1.571111113WSep 17 · 17:55M. Treschetka2.10981391V. Kheresko1.67111111113WSep 17 · 16:55V. Kheresko2.00101411113O. Melnik1.731212421
Upcoming Matches
I. Fokin
V. Kheresko
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