TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13161332
Played Sep 19Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141151012115––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
1141151012115––
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 3–1 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:28What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1689 vs Bartosz 1540
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 80% vs Bartosz 40%
Kowalewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 90% vs Bartosz 40%
Kowalewski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski +3 · Bartosz -2
Kowalewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.40 / Bartosz 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kowalewski)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13161332
Kowalewski1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 149 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it76% 103 of 136
Bartosz2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKowalewski3wins
AwayBartosz1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKowalewski leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski75%3 of 4
AwayBartoszn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski4Bartosz0n = 4Kowalewski took 4 of 4
S2Kowalewski2Bartosz2n = 4split evenly
S3Kowalewski4Bartosz0n = 4Kowalewski took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKowalewskiBartoszK − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match39.030.5+8.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 327 vs 119 / 23160.6%51.5%198 / 327 vs 119 / 231Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.40/Bartosz 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 20 · 14:00K. Kowalewski351113113B. Bartosz1941140
LJun 27 · 07:35K. Kowalewski4512911492B. Bartosz501011711113
WJun 26 · 22:40K. Kowalewski43111011113B. Bartosz38912981
WJun 26 · 15:30K. Kowalewski331111113B. Bartosz153480
K. Kowalewski10
WSep 19 · 22:05P. Kos3.4081340K. Kowalewski1.201115113WSep 19 · 18:35K. Zapala2.951489111K. Kowalewski1.35121111133WSep 19 · 16:05K. Guzy1.767880K. Kowalewski1.901111113WSep 19 · 15:35D. Bucko2.5011118692K. Kowalewski1.46881111113LSep 18 · 22:30K. Kowalewski1.607760P. Odelski2.201111113WSep 18 · 20:30K. Zapala2.907780K. Kowalewski1.301111113WSep 18 · 19:30B. Gola3.25711117132K. Kowalewski1.30117911153WSep 18 · 18:00P. Kos3.108880K. Kowalewski1.331111113WSep 18 · 15:30P. Odelski2.20471171K. Kowalewski1.6011118113WSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy1.66891151K. Kowalewski2.1011117113
B. Bartosz10
WSep 19 · 22:35B. Bartosz—1111113P. Kos—8880WSep 19 · 21:35K. Zapala1.668101171B. Bartosz1.8911124113LSep 19 · 19:05D. Bucko1.881111113B. Bartosz1.824780LSep 19 · 16:35P. Kos1.8311611113B. Bartosz1.86911571WSep 19 · 15:05K. Guzy1.869113101B. Bartosz1.8311811123WSep 13 · 14:05B. Bartosz2.0511118113D. Bucko1.68491171LSep 13 · 12:05A. Duch1.3411119113B. Bartosz3.00571151LSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113LSep 13 · 10:05B. Bartosz2.20131051162M. Szymanski1.601112117113WSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272
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