TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13159876
Played Sep 19Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.76
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811811––––
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
711811811––––
H2H Karol Guzy 40–22 Kamil Kowalewski Kamil Kowalewski has won 22 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:35What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Guzy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-22 in 62
Guzy
Wrong
gap of 18 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1649 vs Kowalewski 1662
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Kowalewski 80%
Kowalewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 60% vs Kowalewski 80%
Kowalewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy -1 · Kowalewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.76 / Kowalewski 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Guzy)+2.1pp
TT Cup · #13159876
Guzy1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 170 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it92% 78 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it83% 127 of 153
Kowalewski1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog54% won 13 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back36% 5 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy8wins
AwayKowalewski2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy85.7%6 of 7
AwayKowalewski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy7Kowalewski3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S2Guzy4Kowalewski6n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S3Guzy8Kowalewski2n = 10Guzy took 8 of 10
S4Guzy3Kowalewski5n = 8Kowalewski took 5 of 8
S5Guzy4Kowalewski0n = 4Guzy took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyKowalewskiG − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.739.3+3.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime661 / 1097 vs 196 / 32560.3%60.3%661 / 1097 vs 196 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.76/Kowalewski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy33891151K. Kowalewski4011117113
WSep 17 · 14:00K. Guzy551112129113K. Kowalewski49714101172
WSep 16 · 22:10K. Guzy331111113K. Kowalewski239950
WSep 16 · 14:00K. Guzy351111133K. Kowalewski2265110
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy4291111113K. Kowalewski34118691
WSep 6 · 09:05K. Guzy47117117113K. Kowalewski4351181182
WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy46121211113K. Kowalewski381014771
WSep 4 · 19:30K. Guzy50761115113K. Kowalewski50111181372
LSep 3 · 22:40K. Guzy381168131K. Kowalewski4691111153
WSep 3 · 14:00K. Guzy48111176133K. Kowalewski48781111112
K. Guzy10
LSep 19 · 15:05K. Guzy1.869113101B. Bartosz1.8311811123WSep 18 · 22:00B. Gola2.45125491K. Guzy1.49101111113WSep 18 · 20:00K. Guzy1.581111123P. Kos2.2535100WSep 18 · 18:30K. Guzy1.411411115113K. Zapala2.6016581182LSep 18 · 17:00K. Guzy1.6657100P. Odelski2.101111123LSep 18 · 15:00K. Guzy1.368340B. Gola2.651111113LSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy1.66891151K. Kowalewski2.1011117113WSep 17 · 22:30K. Guzy1.041113113K. Zapala10.0021180WSep 17 · 20:30K. Zapala2.7511861282K. Guzy1.409111110113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Stachera2.25116761K. Guzy1.5771111113
K. Kowalewski10
WSep 19 · 15:35D. Bucko2.5011118692K. Kowalewski1.46881111113LSep 18 · 22:30K. Kowalewski1.607760P. Odelski2.201111113WSep 18 · 20:30K. Zapala2.907780K. Kowalewski1.301111113WSep 18 · 19:30B. Gola3.25711117132K. Kowalewski1.30117911153WSep 18 · 18:00P. Kos3.108880K. Kowalewski1.331111113WSep 18 · 15:30P. Odelski2.20471171K. Kowalewski1.6011118113WSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy1.66891151K. Kowalewski2.1011117113WSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120LSep 17 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.3311811772B. Gola3.00811911113WSep 17 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.3311114113K. Zapala3.10651151
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