TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13156462
Played Sep 18Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711611––––
Piotr Odelski
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
711711611––––
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 3–1 Piotr Odelski Piotr Odelski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Kowalewski beat Odelski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Kowalewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kowalewski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1670 vs Odelski 1607
Kowalewski
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 100% vs Odelski 80%
Kowalewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 80% vs Odelski 60%
Kowalewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski +6 · Odelski +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.60 / Odelski 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kowalewski)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13156462
Kowalewski1.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 142 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 72 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it75% 96 of 128
Odelski2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKowalewski3wins
AwayOdelski1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKowalewski leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski100%3 of 3
AwayOdelskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski3Odelski1n = 4Kowalewski took 3 of 4
S2Kowalewski4Odelski0n = 4Kowalewski took 4 of 4
S3Kowalewski3Odelski1n = 4Kowalewski took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKowalewskiOdelskiK − OBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.234.0+6.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 323 vs 53 / 8860.4%60.2%195 / 323 vs 53 / 88Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.60/Odelski 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 18 · 15:30K. Kowalewski4111118113P. Odelski29471171
WSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski381311143P. Odelski32119120
WSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski361114113P. Odelski2891270
LSep 16 · 17:00K. Kowalewski4691111782P. Odelski47115911113
K. Kowalewski10
WSep 18 · 20:30K. Zapala2.907780K. Kowalewski1.301111113WSep 18 · 19:30B. Gola3.25711117132K. Kowalewski1.30117911153WSep 18 · 18:00P. Kos3.108880K. Kowalewski1.331111113WSep 18 · 15:30P. Odelski2.20471171K. Kowalewski1.6011118113WSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy1.66891151K. Kowalewski2.1011117113WSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120LSep 17 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.3311811772B. Gola3.00811911113WSep 17 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.3311114113K. Zapala3.10651151WSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.561114113P. Odelski2.3091270LSep 17 · 15:00K. Kowalewski1.3371161192T. Stachera3.10117118113
P. Odelski10
WSep 18 · 21:00P. Odelski1.591111113B. Gola2.085580WSep 18 · 19:00P. Kos2.10117112102P. Odelski1.66611811123WSep 18 · 17:00K. Guzy1.6657100P. Odelski2.101111123WSep 18 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8512811662P. Odelski1.361011911113LSep 18 · 15:30P. Odelski2.20471171K. Kowalewski1.6011118113LSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120WSep 17 · 21:00P. Odelski1.601111113T. Stachera2.104590WSep 17 · 19:00B. Gola2.056670P. Odelski1.701111113LSep 17 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.561114113P. Odelski2.3091270LSep 17 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8561111153P. Odelski1.351199131
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