TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13159452
Played Sep 19Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118118811611911
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.46
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
118118811611911
H2H Damian Bucko 14–21 Kamil Kowalewski Damian Bucko has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-21 in 35
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1593 vs Kowalewski 1653
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 20% vs Kowalewski 80%
Kowalewski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 50% vs Kowalewski 80%
Kowalewski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -3 · Kowalewski -1
Bucko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 2.50 / Kowalewski 1.46
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kowalewski)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13159452
Bucko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 13)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 65 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back33% 23 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back20% 8 of 40
Kowalewski1.46
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 149 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it98% 78 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it76% 103 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko3wins
AwayKowalewski7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKowalewski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuckon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKowalewski77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko1Kowalewski9n = 10Kowalewski took 9 of 10
S2Bucko3Kowalewski7n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S3Bucko4Kowalewski6n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S4Bucko1Kowalewski4n = 5Kowalewski took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoKowalewskiB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.837.7−8.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 604 vs 195 / 32455.3%60.2%334 / 604 vs 195 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiBucko 2.50/Kowalewski 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko45411118113K. Kowalewski4011561172
LSep 4 · 22:10D. Bucko367811101K. Kowalewski4311119123
LSep 4 · 14:30D. Bucko187560K. Kowalewski331111113
LSep 3 · 18:00D. Bucko176740K. Kowalewski331111113
LAug 29 · 21:05D. Bucko145540K. Kowalewski331111113
WAug 28 · 22:40D. Bucko4311138113K. Kowalewski365111191
WAug 28 · 20:00D. Bucko48911116113K. Kowalewski4811991182
LAug 27 · 18:00D. Bucko357612101K. Kowalewski44111110123
LAug 21 · 15:00D. Bucko1851030K. Kowalewski341112113
LAug 20 · 20:00D. Bucko147700K. Kowalewski331111113
D. Bucko10
LSep 13 · 14:05B. Bartosz2.0511118113D. Bucko1.68491171LSep 13 · 12:35D. Bucko1.869111361M. Szymanski1.83111311113LSep 13 · 10:35A. Duch1.661111113D. Bucko2.056870WSep 13 · 09:35D. Bucko1.611114143K. Zapala2.09912120LSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272WSep 13 · 08:05D. Bucko1.6611813113K. Guzy2.019111151LSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133WSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192WSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113
K. Kowalewski10
WSep 19 · 16:05K. Guzy1.767880K. Kowalewski1.901111113LSep 18 · 22:30K. Kowalewski1.607760P. Odelski2.201111113WSep 18 · 20:30K. Zapala2.907780K. Kowalewski1.301111113WSep 18 · 19:30B. Gola3.25711117132K. Kowalewski1.30117911153WSep 18 · 18:00P. Kos3.108880K. Kowalewski1.331111113WSep 18 · 15:30P. Odelski2.20471171K. Kowalewski1.6011118113WSep 18 · 14:00K. Guzy1.66891151K. Kowalewski2.1011117113WSep 17 · 22:00K. Kowalewski1.571311143P. Odelski2.30119120LSep 17 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.3311811772B. Gola3.00811911113WSep 17 · 18:30K. Kowalewski1.3311114113K. Zapala3.10651151
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