TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13160811
Played Sep 19Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.88
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117118––––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
1.82
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBilski Bartosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
114117118––––
H2H Damian Bucko 12–12 Bilski Bartosz Dead even across their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Bartosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-12 in 24
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1571 vs Bartosz 1554
Bucko
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 0% vs Bartosz 40%
Bartosz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 30% vs Bartosz 50%
Bartosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -5 · Bartosz -1
Bucko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bartosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.88 / Bartosz 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bartosz)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13160811
Bucko1.88
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 65 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back33% 23 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back20% 8 of 40
Bartosz1.82
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite40% won 6 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko4wins
AwayBartosz6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBartosz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko66.7%2 of 3
AwayBartosz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko3Bartosz7n = 10Bartosz took 7 of 10
S2Bucko5Bartosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Bucko5Bartosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Bucko3Bartosz6n = 9Bartosz took 6 of 9
S5Bucko2Bartosz1n = 3Bucko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoBartoszBucko − BartoszBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.342.3−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 594 vs 119 / 23054.7%51.7%325 / 594 vs 119 / 230Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartoszBucko 1.88/Bartosz 1.82
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bartosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 14:05D. Bucko31491171B. Bartosz4111118113
LSep 13 · 08:35D. Bucko4055111272B. Bartosz521111910113
WSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko531111128113B. Bartosz4767141192
LAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko30116581B. Bartosz4291111113
LApr 29 · 20:00D. Bucko341111841B. Bartosz4413911113
LApr 23 · 14:30D. Bucko216780B. Bartosz331111113
WApr 16 · 15:30D. Bucko501211133113B. Bartosz49149111142
WApr 11 · 22:05D. Bucko4311813113B. Bartosz366111181
WApr 1 · 17:00D. Bucko4041114113B. Bartosz301111261
LFeb 28 · 22:05D. Bucko411314951B. Bartosz49151211113
D. Bucko10
LSep 19 · 17:35D. Bucko1.809112011122K. Zapala1.86119228143LSep 19 · 15:35D. Bucko2.5011118692K. Kowalewski1.46881111113LSep 13 · 14:05B. Bartosz2.0511118113D. Bucko1.68491171LSep 13 · 12:35D. Bucko1.869111361M. Szymanski1.83111311113LSep 13 · 10:35A. Duch1.661111113D. Bucko2.056870WSep 13 · 09:35D. Bucko1.611114143K. Zapala2.09912120LSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272WSep 13 · 08:05D. Bucko1.6611813113K. Guzy2.019111151LSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133
B. Bartosz10
LSep 19 · 16:35P. Kos1.8311611113B. Bartosz1.86911571WSep 19 · 15:05K. Guzy1.869113101B. Bartosz1.8311811123WSep 13 · 14:05B. Bartosz2.0511118113D. Bucko1.68491171LSep 13 · 12:05A. Duch1.3411119113B. Bartosz3.00571151LSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113LSep 13 · 10:05B. Bartosz2.20131051162M. Szymanski1.601112117113WSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272WSep 13 · 06:35B. Bartosz2.041113113K. Zapala1.6451160LSep 12 · 20:45B. Bartosz2.759870A. Duch1.401111113WSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113
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