TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13160617
Played Sep 19Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111920221181214
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
127 points played in total.
Set by set
91111920221181214
H2H Damian Bucko 37–36 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 36 of their 73 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.80 / Zapala 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bucko)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13160617
Bucko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 35 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Zapala1.86
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 83 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko7wins
AwayZapala3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBucko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko83.3%5 of 6
AwayZapala50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko6Zapala4n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S2Bucko6Zapala4n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S3Bucko6Zapala4n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S4Bucko3Zapala2n = 5Bucko took 3 of 5
S5Bucko3Zapala1n = 4Bucko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoZapalaB − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.937.1+2.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 593 vs 336 / 75354.8%44.6%325 / 593 vs 336 / 753Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBucko 1.80/Zapala 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 09:35D. Bucko391114143K. Zapala33912120
WSep 10 · 17:30D. Bucko511113511113K. Zapala5191511882
WSep 5 · 23:05D. Bucko411711133K. Zapala30154110
WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko331111113K. Zapala173950
LSep 3 · 16:30D. Bucko551171511112K. Zapala599111313133
WAug 29 · 19:35D. Bucko331111113K. Zapala157350
WAug 27 · 16:30D. Bucko49691111123K. Zapala44111166102
WAug 21 · 17:30D. Bucko462111111113K. Zapala4611613972
LAug 20 · 16:30D. Bucko371011791K. Zapala4312911113
LAug 12 · 17:30D. Bucko154560K. Zapala331111113
D. Bucko10
LSep 19 · 15:35D. Bucko2.5011118692K. Kowalewski1.46881111113LSep 13 · 14:05B. Bartosz2.0511118113D. Bucko1.68491171LSep 13 · 12:35D. Bucko1.869111361M. Szymanski1.83111311113LSep 13 · 10:35A. Duch1.661111113D. Bucko2.056870WSep 13 · 09:35D. Bucko1.611114143K. Zapala2.09912120LSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272WSep 13 · 08:05D. Bucko1.6611813113K. Guzy2.019111151LSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133WSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192
K. Zapala10
WSep 19 · 17:05K. Zapala1.8211912113P. Kos1.886111061WSep 18 · 21:30K. Zapala—1111113P. Kos—4620LSep 18 · 20:30K. Zapala2.907780K. Kowalewski1.301111113LSep 18 · 18:30K. Guzy1.411411115113K. Zapala2.6016581182LSep 18 · 17:30K. Zapala1.7891215952B. Gola1.8311101311113WSep 18 · 16:30P. Kos2.059690K. Zapala1.661111113LSep 18 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8512811662P. Odelski1.361011911113LSep 17 · 22:30K. Guzy1.041113113K. Zapala10.0021180LSep 17 · 20:30K. Zapala2.7511861282K. Guzy1.409111110113LSep 13 · 09:35D. Bucko1.611114143K. Zapala2.09912120
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