TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13161330
Played Sep 19Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012114711––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
1.89
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Zapala to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
8111012114711––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 16–11 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (53%)
Zapala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-11 in 27
Zapala
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1488 vs Bartosz 1540
Bartosz
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 60% vs Bartosz 40%
Zapala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 40% vs Bartosz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -2 · Bartosz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zapala) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.66 / Bartosz 1.89
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bartosz)-0.8pp
TT Cup · #13161330
Zapala1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it79% 55 of 70
Bartosz1.89
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala6wins
AwayBartosz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala100%3 of 3
AwayBartosz57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala3Bartosz7n = 10Bartosz took 7 of 10
S2Zapala7Bartosz3n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S3Zapala6Bartosz4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S4Zapala3Bartosz2n = 5Zapala took 3 of 5
S5Zapala2Bartosz1n = 3Zapala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaBartoszZ − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.8+1.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 756 vs 119 / 23144.6%51.5%337 / 756 vs 119 / 231Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaZapala 1.66/Bartosz 1.89
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:35K. Zapala2251160B. Bartosz351113113
LSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala27610110B. Bartosz361112133
WSep 10 · 21:40K. Zapala65825129113B. Bartosz591123101142
LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala47511812112B. Bartosz541191110133
WAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala351113113B. Bartosz2661190
WAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala331111113B. Bartosz238780
WJun 27 · 09:05K. Zapala4171111123B. Bartosz351195101
LJun 26 · 16:00K. Zapala4010911101B. Bartosz4212117123
WApr 23 · 17:30K. Zapala521111811113B. Bartosz4913911972
WApr 16 · 20:30K. Zapala331111113B. Bartosz195590
K. Zapala10
LSep 19 · 19:35K. Guzy1.55111110113K. Zapala2.30671271LSep 19 · 18:35K. Zapala2.951489111K. Kowalewski1.35121111133WSep 19 · 17:35D. Bucko1.809112011122K. Zapala1.86119228143WSep 19 · 17:05K. Zapala1.8211912113P. Kos1.886111061WSep 18 · 21:30K. Zapala—1111113P. Kos—4620LSep 18 · 20:30K. Zapala2.907780K. Kowalewski1.301111113LSep 18 · 18:30K. Guzy1.411411115113K. Zapala2.6016581182LSep 18 · 17:30K. Zapala1.7891215952B. Gola1.8311101311113WSep 18 · 16:30P. Kos2.059690K. Zapala1.661111113LSep 18 · 16:00K. Zapala2.8512811662P. Odelski1.361011911113
B. Bartosz10
WSep 19 · 22:35B. Bartosz—1111113P. Kos—8880LSep 19 · 20:35K. Kowalewski1.40111110113B. Bartosz2.75451251LSep 19 · 19:05D. Bucko1.881111113B. Bartosz1.824780LSep 19 · 16:35P. Kos1.8311611113B. Bartosz1.86911571WSep 19 · 15:05K. Guzy1.869113101B. Bartosz1.8311811123WSep 13 · 14:05B. Bartosz2.0511118113D. Bucko1.68491171LSep 13 · 12:05A. Duch1.3411119113B. Bartosz3.00571151LSep 13 · 11:05B. Bartosz1.8481391162K. Guzy1.831111114113LSep 13 · 10:05B. Bartosz2.20131051162M. Szymanski1.601112117113WSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272
Upcoming Matches
K. Zapala
B. Bartosz
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.