TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131191012118––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 9–10 Vitalii Krokhmal Myroslav Loboda has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:26What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1721 vs Krokhmal 1638
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Loboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 70% vs Krokhmal 20%
Loboda
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda -1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.83 / Krokhmal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Loboda)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13160556
Loboda1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Krokhmal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 136 days ago (May 08) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayKrokhmal5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrokhmal100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda6Krokhmal4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Loboda6Krokhmal4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S3Loboda4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S4Loboda1Krokhmal5n = 6Krokhmal took 5 of 6
S5Loboda2Krokhmal1n = 3Loboda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaKrokhmalL − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.037.00.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 949 vs 174 / 37951.7%45.9%491 / 949 vs 174 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.83/Krokhmal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 8 · 08:05M. Loboda361114113V. Krokhmal2661280
WMay 7 · 12:35M. Loboda47115118123V. Krokhmal48911711102
LMay 7 · 24:00M. Loboda2610790V. Krokhmal341211113
LMay 5 · 24:45M. Loboda365121181V. Krokhmal45111013113
WMay 1 · 05:05M. Loboda331111113V. Krokhmal183780
LApr 29 · 20:30M. Loboda4413119832V. Krokhmal481141111113
WApr 27 · 20:45M. Loboda46118124113V. Krokhmal42311101172
LApr 22 · 23:00M. Loboda378117111V. Krokhmal4411911133
WApr 21 · 24:15M. Loboda4111118113V. Krokhmal32961161
LApr 20 · 24:00M. Loboda247890V. Krokhmal331111113
M. Loboda10
LSep 21 · 01:00M. Loboda1.6711711462O. Rodin2.10411811113LSep 20 · 22:30M. Loboda2.251410971R. Konkulovskyi1.57121211113WSep 20 · 20:30M. Loboda1.67111189113V. Slozka2.1057111182LSep 18 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.10313712113M. Loboda1.671111111052WSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670WSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870WSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492WSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 21 · 01:30V. Slozka1.801111113V. Krokhmal1.917140LSep 20 · 22:00O. Rodin1.731212113V. Krokhmal2.00101050WSep 20 · 20:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91711691V. Krokhmal1.8011511113WSep 20 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.401110651V. Krokhmal2.7551211113LSep 20 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.6712118113V. Krokhmal2.101081181LSep 20 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.918111110113V. Krokhmal1.8011741282LSep 19 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi1.5311118123V. Krokhmal2.389911101LSep 19 · 20:15A. Romanenko1.8041111123V. Krokhmal1.911156101WSep 17 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.251111118102V. Krokhmal1.57791311123LSep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.833690
Upcoming Matches
M. Loboda
Nothing scheduled
V. Krokhmal
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