TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155247
Played Sep 20Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1151012611511––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 64.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 3–1 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1846 vs Krokhmal 1622
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 224 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 100% vs Krokhmal 20%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 80% vs Krokhmal 20%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi +7 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chaikovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 1.40 / Krokhmal 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155247
Chaikovskyi1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 92 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 64 of 83
Krokhmal2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 135 days ago (May 08) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 92 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi3wins
AwayKrokhmal1wins
Chaikovskyi leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKrokhmal0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi1Krokhmal3n = 4Krokhmal took 3 of 4
S2Chaikovskyi3Krokhmal1n = 4Chaikovskyi took 3 of 4
S3Chaikovskyi3Krokhmal1n = 4Chaikovskyi took 3 of 4
S4Chaikovskyi3Krokhmal1n = 4Chaikovskyi took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiKrokhmalC − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.238.0+3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 776 vs 172 / 37651.9%45.7%403 / 776 vs 172 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiChaikovskyi 1.40/Krokhmal 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WApr 15 · 14:05B. Chaikovskyi4291111113V. Krokhmal34119591
WApr 13 · 23:15B. Chaikovskyi4971120113V. Krokhmal431151891
WApr 11 · 22:15B. Chaikovskyi4061111123V. Krokhmal301172101
LApr 7 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi341174121V. Krokhmal4591111143
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 20 · 24:45A. Romanenko2.2512950B. Chaikovskyi1.571411113WSep 19 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.611111113O. Pohonov2.209550WSep 19 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.677260B. Chaikovskyi2.101111113WSep 19 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.83811115113I. Sukovatyi1.8311891192WSep 17 · 11:35B. Chaikovskyi1.6111611143O. Pohonov2.208118121WSep 17 · 09:35A. Romanenko2.25491131B. Chaikovskyi1.5711119113WSep 17 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.671011481B. Chaikovskyi2.1012511113LSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911012871I. Sukovatyi1.80121011113LSep 17 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko2.2061111113B. Chaikovskyi1.61115971WSep 16 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.53931191B. Chaikovskyi2.3811119113
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 20 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.6712118113V. Krokhmal2.101081181LSep 20 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.918111110113V. Krokhmal1.8011741282LSep 19 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi1.5311118123V. Krokhmal2.389911101LSep 19 · 20:15A. Romanenko1.8041111123V. Krokhmal1.911156101WSep 17 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.251111118102V. Krokhmal1.57791311123LSep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.833690WSep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111166102V. Krokhmal1.83991111123WSep 16 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91811891V. Krokhmal1.8011911113LSep 16 · 20:00O. Rodin2.00131111113V. Krokhmal1.73156771WSep 16 · 02:30B. Chaikovskyi1.4011411782V. Krokhmal2.75711811113
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