TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143130
Played Sep 17Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121210811711––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 81 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 34–44 Ihor Sukovatyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 34 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-44 in 78
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 10 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1753 vs Sukovatyi 1770
Sukovatyi
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 80% vs Sukovatyi 60%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 40% vs Sukovatyi 70%
Sukovatyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi -1 · Sukovatyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 1.91 / Sukovatyi 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13143130
Chaikovskyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 148 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back27% 50 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106
Sukovatyi1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 176 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it82% 136 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi6wins
AwaySukovatyi4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi100%4 of 4
AwaySukovatyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Chaikovskyi7Sukovatyi3n = 10Chaikovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Chaikovskyi3Sukovatyi4n = 7Sukovatyi took 4 of 7
S5Chaikovskyi3Sukovatyi0n = 3Chaikovskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiSukovatyiC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.6−1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 771 vs 280 / 51151.5%54.8%397 / 771 vs 280 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiChaikovskyi 1.91/Sukovatyi 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi371012871I. Sukovatyi44121011113
WSep 16 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi50911119103I. Sukovatyi4311581182
LSep 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi378101271I. Sukovatyi44111210113
WSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi45411811113I. Sukovatyi4311911662
WSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi3711114113I. Sukovatyi30661171
WSep 9 · 19:05B. Chaikovskyi331111113I. Sukovatyi187650
LSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2111640I. Sukovatyi351311113
WSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi4511149113I. Sukovatyi419121191
WSep 2 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi47111168113I. Sukovatyi4599111152
LAug 30 · 24:15B. Chaikovskyi124440I. Sukovatyi331111113
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 17 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.671011481B. Chaikovskyi2.1012511113LSep 17 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko2.2061111113B. Chaikovskyi1.61115971WSep 16 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.53931191B. Chaikovskyi2.3811119113WSep 16 · 17:05B. Chaikovskyi1.6111811113G. Kuzmenko2.20911871WSep 16 · 16:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711117123O. Pohonov2.258611101WSep 16 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi1.83911119103I. Sukovatyi1.8311581182LSep 16 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661162A. Romanenko2.25811117113LSep 16 · 02:30B. Chaikovskyi1.4011411782V. Krokhmal2.75711811113LSep 16 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko2.631111113B. Chaikovskyi1.447970LSep 15 · 23:30B. Chaikovskyi1.531181111102A. Romanenko2.38611713123
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 17 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.3813118952I. Sukovatyi1.531171111113LSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi2.758360O. Pohonov1.401111113WSep 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh2.209630I. Sukovatyi1.611111113WSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162LSep 16 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi1.83911119103I. Sukovatyi1.8311581182LSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860WSep 16 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.0091050I. Sukovatyi1.731112113WSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.57211115113V. Krokhmal2.2511641192
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