TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155638
Played Sep 19Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111151161210––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 70 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 4–6 Vitalii Krokhmal Andrii Romanenko has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Romanenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Krokhmal
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1743 vs Krokhmal 1659
Romanenko
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Romanenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Romanenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko -2 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Romanenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 1.80 / Krokhmal 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Romanenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155638
Romanenko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 166 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it93% 84 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it80% 129 of 162
Krokhmal1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 134 days ago (May 08) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 92 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko4wins
AwayKrokhmal6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko25%1 of 4
AwayKrokhmal50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Romanenko5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S3Romanenko4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S4Romanenko4Krokhmal5n = 9Krokhmal took 5 of 9
S5Romanenko3Krokhmal3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoKrokhmalR − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.645.4−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 563 vs 172 / 37353.6%46.1%302 / 563 vs 172 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoRomanenko 1.80/Krokhmal 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 7 · 17:35A. Romanenko49811712113V. Krokhmal45118111052
LMay 7 · 02:30A. Romanenko48114131192V. Krokhmal54811159113
WMay 4 · 23:45A. Romanenko4111811113V. Krokhmal36911881
LApr 21 · 02:45A. Romanenko52101261772V. Krokhmal5912101115113
LApr 20 · 02:30A. Romanenko4011116932V. Krokhmal47951111113
LApr 13 · 21:15A. Romanenko31114971V. Krokhmal3851111113
LApr 12 · 02:45A. Romanenko29671151V. Krokhmal4211119113
WApr 6 · 21:15A. Romanenko47512118113V. Krokhmal50111091192
LApr 5 · 21:15A. Romanenko218670V. Krokhmal331111113
WMar 29 · 22:15A. Romanenko48511138113V. Krokhmal50119111182
A. Romanenko10
LSep 19 · 21:45A. Romanenko2.387129111O. Pohonov1.53111011133LSep 17 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.101111113A. Romanenko1.677460LSep 17 · 09:35A. Romanenko2.25491131B. Chaikovskyi1.5711119113WSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko2.10711118113I. Sukovatyi1.6711461182WSep 17 · 07:05A. Romanenko1.441115113G. Kuzmenko2.6391380WSep 17 · 05:05A. Romanenko2.381713711113O. Pohonov1.53151511892WSep 16 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko2.50311871A. Romanenko1.5011711113LSep 16 · 17:35A. Romanenko2.25812118102O. Pohonov1.571110911123LSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162WSep 16 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.83712100A. Romanenko1.831114123
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 17 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.251111118102V. Krokhmal1.57791311123LSep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.833690WSep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111166102V. Krokhmal1.83991111123WSep 16 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91811891V. Krokhmal1.8011911113LSep 16 · 20:00O. Rodin2.00131111113V. Krokhmal1.73156771WSep 16 · 02:30B. Chaikovskyi1.4011411782V. Krokhmal2.75711811113WSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123LSep 16 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.00811115113V. Krokhmal1.7311461152LSep 15 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.57211115113V. Krokhmal2.2511641192LSep 15 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko1.6111812123V. Krokhmal2.2091110101
Upcoming Matches
A. Romanenko
V. Krokhmal
Sep 20 · 24:15V. Krokhmal1.80R. Konkulovskyi1.91—Sep 20 · 01:45V. Krokhmal2.10O. Pohonov1.67—Sep 20 · 02:45V. Krokhmal2.63B. Chaikovskyi1.44—Sep 20 · 20:00V. Krokhmal1.73Y. Vorsuliak2.00—Sep 20 · 22:00V. Krokhmal2.00O. Rodin1.73—Sep 21 · 24:00V. Krokhmal1.83M. Loboda1.83—Sep 21 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.91V. Slozka1.80—Sep 21 · 02:30V. Krokhmal1.80R. Konkulovskyi1.91—
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