TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136606
Played Sep 16Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311117811711––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 69.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 2–10 Andrii Romanenko Gregory Kuzmenko has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Romanenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-10 in 12
Romanenko
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1785 vs Romanenko 1681
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 60% vs Romanenko 40%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 60% vs Romanenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -2 · Romanenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Romanenko) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.50 / Romanenko 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Romanenko)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13136606
Kuzmenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 60 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Romanenko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 166 of 264
Up 2–0, closes it93% 84 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it80% 129 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko2wins
AwayRomanenko8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRomanenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko50%2 of 4
AwayRomanenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko4Romanenko6n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmenko2Romanenko8n = 10Romanenko took 8 of 10
S3Kuzmenko2Romanenko8n = 10Romanenko took 8 of 10
S4Kuzmenko2Romanenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoRomanenkoK − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match27.835.3−7.5per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 561 vs 298 / 55750.1%53.5%281 / 561 vs 298 / 557Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoKuzmenko 2.50/Romanenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko341111123A. Romanenko2248100
LAug 29 · 21:45G. Kuzmenko133550A. Romanenko331111113
WAug 27 · 09:05G. Kuzmenko3611311113A. Romanenko30611581
LAug 26 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko2011180A. Romanenko351113113
LAug 23 · 24:45G. Kuzmenko247890A. Romanenko331111113
LMay 15 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko4011861142A. Romanenko49811118113
LMay 13 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko3299140A. Romanenko381111163
LApr 23 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko216870A. Romanenko331111113
LApr 20 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko29411861A. Romanenko3811511113
LMar 29 · 23:15G. Kuzmenko29114591A. Romanenko4291111113
G. Kuzmenko10
LSep 16 · 17:05B. Chaikovskyi1.6111811113G. Kuzmenko2.20911871LSep 16 · 15:05I. Hrekh2.2571111113G. Kuzmenko1.57116891WSep 16 · 14:05G. Kuzmenko1.441111113O. Pohonov2.634660WSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111113R. Konkulovskyi2.109540WSep 16 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko2.631111113B. Chaikovskyi1.447970LSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100WSep 15 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko1.6111812123V. Krokhmal2.2091110101LSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.251111113G. Kuzmenko1.577850
A. Romanenko10
LSep 16 · 17:35A. Romanenko2.25812118102O. Pohonov1.571110911123LSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162WSep 16 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.83712100A. Romanenko1.831114123WSep 16 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661162A. Romanenko2.25811117113LSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860LSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123WSep 15 · 23:30B. Chaikovskyi1.531181111102A. Romanenko2.38611713123LSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100WSep 15 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.504511101A. Romanenko1.5011116123WSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113
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