TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136590
Played Sep 16Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81112101198111012
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 102 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 63.7%
102 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 21–42 Oleksandr Pohonov Andrii Romanenko has won 21 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-42 in 63
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 21 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1691 vs Pohonov 1699
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 40% vs Pohonov 20%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 60% vs Pohonov 40%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko -1 · Pohonov -3
Pohonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pohonov) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohonov form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.25 / Pohonov 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13136590
Romanenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 73 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Pohonov1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 182 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it92% 91 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it76% 130 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko3wins
AwayPohonov7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayPohonov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko3Pohonov7n = 10Pohonov took 7 of 10
S2Romanenko4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S3Romanenko2Pohonov8n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S4Romanenko1Pohonov4n = 5Pohonov took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoPohonovR − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.235.7−3.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime298 / 556 vs 271 / 52653.6%51.5%298 / 556 vs 271 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovRomanenko 2.25/Pohonov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 21:15A. Romanenko50891111113O. Pohonov4111114872
LSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko238780O. Pohonov331111113
LSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko34811691O. Pohonov3911611113
LSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko205960O. Pohonov331111113
LAug 30 · 22:15A. Romanenko2671180O. Pohonov351113113
LAug 29 · 23:45A. Romanenko31611771O. Pohonov3911611113
WAug 27 · 06:05A. Romanenko51111199113O. Pohonov4378111162
LAug 26 · 13:05A. Romanenko341176101O. Pohonov4171111123
LAug 26 · 03:00A. Romanenko204880O. Pohonov331111113
WAug 26 · 01:13A. Romanenko331111113O. Pohonov205780
A. Romanenko10
LSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162WSep 16 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.83712100A. Romanenko1.831114123WSep 16 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661162A. Romanenko2.25811117113LSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860LSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123WSep 15 · 23:30B. Chaikovskyi1.531181111102A. Romanenko2.38611713123LSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100WSep 15 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.504511101A. Romanenko1.5011116123WSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113WSep 13 · 24:45A. Romanenko1.531111113R. Konkulovskyi2.385790
O. Pohonov10
LSep 16 · 16:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711117123O. Pohonov2.258611101LSep 16 · 14:05G. Kuzmenko1.441111113O. Pohonov2.634660LSep 16 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.8011118113O. Pohonov1.91691171WSep 15 · 03:15O. Pohonov1.67111512113V. Krokhmal2.1013131041LSep 15 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.25111288113O. Pohonov1.57810111192WSep 14 · 23:15I. Hrekh1.80512491O. Pohonov1.91111011113WSep 14 · 22:15O. Pohonov2.20111146113M. Loboda1.6199111192LSep 14 · 21:15D. Shchegelskyi2.381181111113O. Pohonov1.5381171392LSep 13 · 01:43O. Pohonov2.3811421182B. Chaikovskyi1.53611114113WSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi2.756101361O. Pohonov1.40111211113
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