TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142603
Played Sep 17Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711114116811118
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 56.2%
88 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 35–41 Ihor Sukovatyi Andrii Romanenko has won 35 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-41 in 76
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 6 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1715 vs Sukovatyi 1770
Sukovatyi
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 60% vs Sukovatyi 80%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 60% vs Sukovatyi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko +3 · Sukovatyi +2
Romanenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.10 / Sukovatyi 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142603
Romanenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 74 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back22% 24 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Sukovatyi1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 176 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it82% 136 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko2wins
AwaySukovatyi8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySukovatyi100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko2Sukovatyi8n = 10Sukovatyi took 8 of 10
S2Romanenko6Sukovatyi4n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S3Romanenko2Sukovatyi8n = 10Sukovatyi took 8 of 10
S4Romanenko3Sukovatyi5n = 8Sukovatyi took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoSukovatyiR − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.437.8−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 560 vs 280 / 51153.8%54.8%301 / 560 vs 280 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiRomanenko 2.10/Sukovatyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 15:35A. Romanenko4271171162I. Sukovatyi46115118113
LSep 16 · 03:00A. Romanenko184860I. Sukovatyi331111113
WSep 13 · 01:14A. Romanenko4012116113I. Sukovatyi281021151
LSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko28611651I. Sukovatyi3911611113
WSep 10 · 06:35A. Romanenko4211911113I. Sukovatyi32811491
LSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko37991181I. Sukovatyi4111118113
LAug 31 · 02:45A. Romanenko228950I. Sukovatyi331111113
LAug 29 · 20:45A. Romanenko398126131I. Sukovatyi47111011153
LAug 27 · 07:35A. Romanenko33911761I. Sukovatyi3911611113
LAug 26 · 14:05A. Romanenko33811681I. Sukovatyi4011711113
A. Romanenko10
LSep 17 · 09:35A. Romanenko2.25491131B. Chaikovskyi1.5711119113WSep 17 · 07:05A. Romanenko1.441115113G. Kuzmenko2.6391380WSep 17 · 05:05A. Romanenko2.381713711113O. Pohonov1.53151511892WSep 16 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko2.50311871A. Romanenko1.5011711113LSep 16 · 17:35A. Romanenko2.25812118102O. Pohonov1.571110911123LSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162WSep 16 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.83712100A. Romanenko1.831114123WSep 16 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661162A. Romanenko2.25811117113LSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860LSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911012871I. Sukovatyi1.80121011113WSep 17 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.3813118952I. Sukovatyi1.531171111113LSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi2.758360O. Pohonov1.401111113WSep 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh2.209630I. Sukovatyi1.611111113WSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162LSep 16 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi1.83911119103I. Sukovatyi1.8311581182LSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860WSep 16 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.0091050I. Sukovatyi1.731112113WSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113
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