TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142090
Played Sep 17Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191513118––––
Gregory Kuzmenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Gregory Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 67 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 63.2%
67 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 12–2 Gregory Kuzmenko Gregory Kuzmenko has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Romanenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-2 in 14
Romanenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1715 vs Kuzmenko 1764
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 60% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Romanenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 50% vs Kuzmenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko +2 · Kuzmenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Romanenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 1.44 / Kuzmenko 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Romanenko)+1.3pp
Setka Cup · #13142090
Romanenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 167 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it93% 84 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it80% 130 of 163
Kuzmenko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 61 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko8wins
AwayKuzmenko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRomanenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko100%7 of 7
AwayKuzmenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko7Kuzmenko3n = 10Romanenko took 7 of 10
S2Romanenko8Kuzmenko2n = 10Romanenko took 8 of 10
S3Romanenko8Kuzmenko2n = 10Romanenko took 8 of 10
S4Romanenko1Kuzmenko2n = 3Kuzmenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoKuzmenkoR − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.027.9+7.1per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime301 / 560 vs 282 / 56453.8%50%301 / 560 vs 282 / 564Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoRomanenko 1.44/Kuzmenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.8%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 07:05A. Romanenko371115113G. Kuzmenko3091380
WSep 16 · 19:05A. Romanenko4011711113G. Kuzmenko29311871
LSep 15 · 21:30A. Romanenko2248100G. Kuzmenko341111123
WAug 29 · 21:45A. Romanenko331111113G. Kuzmenko133550
LAug 27 · 09:05A. Romanenko30611581G. Kuzmenko3611311113
WAug 26 · 15:35A. Romanenko351113113G. Kuzmenko2011180
WAug 23 · 24:45A. Romanenko331111113G. Kuzmenko247890
WMay 15 · 05:35A. Romanenko49811118113G. Kuzmenko4011861142
WMay 13 · 22:30A. Romanenko381111163G. Kuzmenko3299140
WApr 23 · 15:35A. Romanenko331111113G. Kuzmenko216870
A. Romanenko10
WSep 17 · 05:05A. Romanenko2.381713711113O. Pohonov1.53151511892WSep 16 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko2.50311871A. Romanenko1.5011711113LSep 16 · 17:35A. Romanenko2.25812118102O. Pohonov1.571110911123LSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162WSep 16 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.83712100A. Romanenko1.831114123WSep 16 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661162A. Romanenko2.25811117113LSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860LSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123WSep 15 · 23:30B. Chaikovskyi1.531181111102A. Romanenko2.38611713123LSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100
G. Kuzmenko10
LSep 17 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4091111182O. Pohonov2.75111186113WSep 17 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko2.2061111113B. Chaikovskyi1.61115971LSep 16 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko2.50311871A. Romanenko1.5011711113LSep 16 · 17:05B. Chaikovskyi1.6111811113G. Kuzmenko2.20911871LSep 16 · 15:05I. Hrekh2.2571111113G. Kuzmenko1.57116891WSep 16 · 14:05G. Kuzmenko1.441111113O. Pohonov2.634660WSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111113R. Konkulovskyi2.109540WSep 16 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko2.631111113B. Chaikovskyi1.447970WSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100
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