TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155588
Played Sep 19Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191198111210––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 81 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 60.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 3–0 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1727 vs Krokhmal 1650
Sukovatyi
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 20% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Sukovatyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi -4 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.53 / Krokhmal 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155588
Sukovatyi1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 176 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it97% 94 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it82% 135 of 165
Krokhmal2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 134 days ago (May 08) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 92 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSukovatyi3wins
AwayKrokhmal0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi1Krokhmal2n = 3Krokhmal took 2 of 3
S2Sukovatyi2Krokhmal1n = 3Sukovatyi took 2 of 3
S3Sukovatyi3Krokhmal0n = 3Sukovatyi took 3 of 3
S4Sukovatyi1Krokhmal2n = 3Krokhmal took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSukovatyiKrokhmalS − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match50.744.3+6.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 514 vs 172 / 37354.5%46.1%280 / 514 vs 172 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.53/Krokhmal 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 14 · 03:15I. Sukovatyi541181311113V. Krokhmal50911111362
WApr 11 · 20:15I. Sukovatyi5612111210113V. Krokhmal51147101282
WMar 30 · 01:45I. Sukovatyi4291111113V. Krokhmal32116691
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 19 · 23:15A. Romanenko2.1011690I. Sukovatyi1.671311113LSep 19 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.83811115113I. Sukovatyi1.8311891192LSep 17 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.3821111113I. Sukovatyi1.53115771LSep 17 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.361112212123I. Sukovatyi3.009101114102LSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko2.10711118113I. Sukovatyi1.6711461182WSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911012871I. Sukovatyi1.80121011113WSep 17 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.3813118952I. Sukovatyi1.531171111113LSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi2.758360O. Pohonov1.401111113WSep 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh2.209630I. Sukovatyi1.611111113WSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 19 · 20:15A. Romanenko1.8041111123V. Krokhmal1.911156101WSep 17 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.251111118102V. Krokhmal1.57791311123LSep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.833690WSep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111166102V. Krokhmal1.83991111123WSep 16 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91811891V. Krokhmal1.8011911113LSep 16 · 20:00O. Rodin2.00131111113V. Krokhmal1.73156771WSep 16 · 02:30B. Chaikovskyi1.4011411782V. Krokhmal2.75711811113WSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123LSep 16 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.00811115113V. Krokhmal1.7311461152LSep 15 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.57211115113V. Krokhmal2.2511641192
Upcoming Matches
I. Sukovatyi
V. Krokhmal
Sep 20 · 24:15V. Krokhmal1.80R. Konkulovskyi1.91—Sep 20 · 01:45V. Krokhmal2.10O. Pohonov1.67—Sep 20 · 02:45V. Krokhmal2.75B. Chaikovskyi1.40—Sep 20 · 20:00V. Krokhmal1.80Y. Vorsuliak1.91—Sep 20 · 22:00V. Krokhmal2.00O. Rodin1.73—Sep 21 · 24:00V. Krokhmal1.83M. Loboda1.83—Sep 21 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.91V. Slozka1.80—Sep 21 · 02:30V. Krokhmal1.80R. Konkulovskyi1.91—
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