TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155621
Played Sep 19Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113611911––––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 56.2%
61 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 36–41 Ihor Sukovatyi Andrii Romanenko has won 36 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-41 in 77
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1740 vs Sukovatyi 1737
Romanenko
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 40% vs Sukovatyi 20%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 50% vs Sukovatyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko -1 · Sukovatyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.10 / Sukovatyi 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155621
Romanenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 74 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Sukovatyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 176 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it97% 94 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it82% 135 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko3wins
AwaySukovatyi7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySukovatyi87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko2Sukovatyi8n = 10Sukovatyi took 8 of 10
S2Romanenko6Sukovatyi4n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S3Romanenko3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Romanenko3Sukovatyi5n = 8Sukovatyi took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoSukovatyiR − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.937.8−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 565 vs 281 / 51553.6%54.6%303 / 565 vs 281 / 515Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiRomanenko 2.10/Sukovatyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko48711118113I. Sukovatyi4011461182
LSep 16 · 15:35A. Romanenko4271171162I. Sukovatyi46115118113
LSep 16 · 03:00A. Romanenko184860I. Sukovatyi331111113
WSep 13 · 01:14A. Romanenko4012116113I. Sukovatyi281021151
LSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko28611651I. Sukovatyi3911611113
WSep 10 · 06:35A. Romanenko4211911113I. Sukovatyi32811491
LSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko37991181I. Sukovatyi4111118113
LAug 31 · 02:45A. Romanenko228950I. Sukovatyi331111113
LAug 29 · 20:45A. Romanenko398126131I. Sukovatyi47111011153
LAug 27 · 07:35A. Romanenko33911761I. Sukovatyi3911611113
A. Romanenko10
LSep 19 · 21:45A. Romanenko2.387129111O. Pohonov1.53111011133WSep 19 · 20:15A. Romanenko1.8041111123V. Krokhmal1.911156101LSep 17 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.101111113A. Romanenko1.677460LSep 17 · 09:35A. Romanenko2.25491131B. Chaikovskyi1.5711119113WSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko2.10711118113I. Sukovatyi1.6711461182WSep 17 · 07:05A. Romanenko1.441115113G. Kuzmenko2.6391380WSep 17 · 05:05A. Romanenko2.381713711113O. Pohonov1.53151511892WSep 16 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko2.50311871A. Romanenko1.5011711113LSep 16 · 17:35A. Romanenko2.25812118102O. Pohonov1.571110911123LSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 19 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi1.5311118123V. Krokhmal2.389911101LSep 19 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.83811115113I. Sukovatyi1.8311891192LSep 17 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.3821111113I. Sukovatyi1.53115771LSep 17 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.361112212123I. Sukovatyi3.009101114102LSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko2.10711118113I. Sukovatyi1.6711461182WSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911012871I. Sukovatyi1.80121011113WSep 17 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.3813118952I. Sukovatyi1.531171111113LSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi2.758360O. Pohonov1.401111113WSep 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh2.209630I. Sukovatyi1.611111113WSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162
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