TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142694
Played Sep 17Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
211115117117––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 65 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 54.6%
65 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 5–13 Ihor Sukovatyi Gregory Kuzmenko has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1761 vs Sukovatyi 1747
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Sukovatyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 50% vs Sukovatyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko +1 · Sukovatyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 2.38 / Sukovatyi 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sukovatyi)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13142694
Kuzmenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 61 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Sukovatyi1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 176 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it82% 136 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko5wins
AwaySukovatyi5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko60%3 of 5
AwaySukovatyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko5Sukovatyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmenko4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmenko6Sukovatyi4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko5Sukovatyi2n = 7Kuzmenko took 5 of 7
S5Kuzmenko1Sukovatyi2n = 3Sukovatyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoSukovatyiK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.837.0−1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 566 vs 280 / 51350%54.6%283 / 566 vs 280 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiKuzmenko 2.38/Sukovatyi 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko3811115113I. Sukovatyi35791181
LSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko48128111162I. Sukovatyi47141147113
WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko331111113I. Sukovatyi249870
LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko28931151I. Sukovatyi3611113113
LAug 29 · 23:15G. Kuzmenko104240I. Sukovatyi331111113
WAug 27 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko331111113I. Sukovatyi169430
WAug 26 · 12:35G. Kuzmenko3961111113I. Sukovatyi31119831
WAug 22 · 20:15G. Kuzmenko58882011113I. Sukovatyi58111118992
LJun 10 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko42113711102I. Sukovatyi48611118123
LMar 29 · 21:45G. Kuzmenko29114591I. Sukovatyi4291111113
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 17 · 09:05I. Hrekh2.20811981G. Kuzmenko1.6111611113LSep 17 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4091111182O. Pohonov2.75111186113LSep 17 · 07:05A. Romanenko1.441115113G. Kuzmenko2.6391380WSep 17 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko2.2061111113B. Chaikovskyi1.61115971LSep 16 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko2.50311871A. Romanenko1.5011711113LSep 16 · 17:05B. Chaikovskyi1.6111811113G. Kuzmenko2.20911871LSep 16 · 15:05I. Hrekh2.2571111113G. Kuzmenko1.57116891WSep 16 · 14:05G. Kuzmenko1.441111113O. Pohonov2.634660WSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111113R. Konkulovskyi2.109540
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 17 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.361112212123I. Sukovatyi3.009101114102LSep 17 · 08:35A. Romanenko2.10711118113I. Sukovatyi1.6711461182WSep 17 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.911012871I. Sukovatyi1.80121011113WSep 17 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.3813118952I. Sukovatyi1.531171111113LSep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi2.758360O. Pohonov1.401111113WSep 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh2.209630I. Sukovatyi1.611111113WSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162LSep 16 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi1.83911119103I. Sukovatyi1.8311581182LSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.