TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148375
Played Sep 18Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
31113117111210115
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 94 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 56.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 42–54 Myroslav Loboda Iurii Hrekh has won 42 of their 96 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-54 in 96
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 12 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1712 vs Loboda 1702
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 100% vs Loboda 80%
Hrekh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 50% vs Loboda 90%
Loboda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +5 · Loboda +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.10 / Loboda 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Loboda)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148375
Hrekh2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 84 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Loboda1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 152 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it74% 126 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh5wins
AwayLoboda5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekhn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLoboda62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S2Hrekh4Loboda6n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh6Loboda4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S4Hrekh5Loboda2n = 7Hrekh took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhLobodaH − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.9−0.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 545 vs 496 / 95652.3%51.9%285 / 545 vs 496 / 956Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaHrekh 2.10/Loboda 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 20:14I. Hrekh206950M. Loboda331111113
WSep 11 · 10:35I. Hrekh4211911113M. Loboda27511561
LSep 10 · 18:05I. Hrekh31612851M. Loboda43111011113
WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh4251313113M. Loboda3911111161
LSep 7 · 20:00I. Hrekh25105100M. Loboda351211123
WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh4411616113M. Loboda377111451
LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh411291191M. Loboda4114115113
WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh4171211113M. Loboda331110571
WSep 3 · 02:00I. Hrekh46101111143M. Loboda381286121
LAug 31 · 02:15I. Hrekh246990M. Loboda331111113
I. Hrekh10
WSep 18 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.441111113D. Shchegelskyi2.639850WSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8011811133M. Khomenko1.919118111WSep 18 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.6761113113V. Slozka2.101111171WSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.385520WSep 17 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.101111113A. Romanenko1.677460LSep 17 · 09:05I. Hrekh2.20811981G. Kuzmenko1.6111611113LSep 17 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.671011481B. Chaikovskyi2.1012511113LSep 17 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.731110961O. Pohonov2.0081211113LSep 17 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.3813118952I. Sukovatyi1.531171111113LSep 16 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.53931191B. Chaikovskyi2.3811119113
M. Loboda10
WSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670WSep 18 · 08:35M. Loboda1.441111113Y. Vorsuliak2.639870WSep 18 · 07:05M. Loboda1.571011316113D. Shchegelskyi2.25127111492WSep 18 · 05:05M. Loboda1.6711101111133V. Slozka2.10131279112LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830WSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113
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